CA Talleres de Cordoba — Union de Santa Fe: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.5% |
| 12 | 68.8% | |
| X2 | 57.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 46.7% / 53.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.1% / 11.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 67.7% / 32.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 39.6% / 60.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 19.4% / 80.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.0% / 92.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.8% / 97.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away San Lorenzo 0:1
- 30.08.2026 home Central Cordoba 0:0
- 25.08.2026 home Rosario Central 2:2
- 18.08.2026 away Gimnasia Mendoza 1:3
- 12.08.2026 home Lanus 0:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.09.2026 home Instituto 3:2
- 28.08.2026 home Sarmiento Junin 4:1
- 21.08.2026 away Aldosivi 3:1
- 15.08.2026 away San Lorenzo 0:1
- 11.08.2026 home Central Cordoba 1:2
This season: CA Talleres de Cordoba at home vs Union de Santa Fe away
| Metric | CA Talleres de Cordoba · at home | Union de Santa Fe · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 14 |
| W–D–L | 4–3–5 | 4–3–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.43 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.17 | 1.71 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 64% |
| Both teams scored | 42% | 64% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 02.05.2026 Union de Santa Fe 1:1 CA Talleres de Cordoba
- 27.11.2024 Union de Santa Fe 2:3 CA Talleres de Cordoba
- 11.07.2023 CA Talleres de Cordoba 0:0 Union de Santa Fe
- 20.10.2022 CA Talleres de Cordoba 2:2 Union de Santa Fe
- 18.02.2022 CA Talleres de Cordoba 0:0 Union de Santa Fe
- 22.08.2021 Union de Santa Fe 1:2 CA Talleres de Cordoba
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Talleres de Cordoba enter this Primera LPF, Clausura fixture with a slight but relatively dependable edge over Union de Santa Fe. The available assessment points toward the hosts having greater control of the matchup, although the difference between the teams is not expected to produce an open or one-sided contest. The main signal supports CA Talleres de Cordoba avoiding defeat, rather than suggesting an emphatic home performance.
The game is projected to be low-scoring, which should keep the margin for error narrow throughout. Both teams scoring remains difficult to separate, so either side could contribute without that being a decisive expectation. Union de Santa Fe may therefore stay competitive if they maintain a compact structure and limit clear opportunities, while CA Talleres de Cordoba will need patience to turn their home advantage into chances. Overall, the hosts hold the clearer edge, but a draw remains a credible outcome in a cautious match.
What matters before kick-off
Recent team results
Unión de Santa Fe enter the fixture following a 3–2 victory over Instituto on September 7, 2026. CA Talleres de Córdoba suffered a 0–1 defeat against San Lorenzo in their preceding match.
Talleres home record against Unión
In 22 home matches played in Córdoba against Unión de Santa Fe, CA Talleres have secured 11 victories and suffered only one defeat.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.