CA Sarmiento Junin — CA Belgrano de Cordoba: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 61.2% |
| 12 | 67.5% | |
| X2 | 71.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 47.3% / 52.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 87.5% / 12.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 67.7% / 32.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 39.1% / 60.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 19.1% / 80.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 7.8% / 92.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.7% / 97.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.09.2026 away Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2:0
- 28.08.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 1:4
- 23.08.2026 home Estudiantes L.P. 2:0
- 16.08.2026 home Huracan 2:0
- 08.08.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.09.2026 home Huracan 1:1
- 30.08.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 0:0
- 23.08.2026 home Defensa y Justicia 1:2
- 15.08.2026 home Ind. Rivadavia 2:0
- 10.08.2026 away Banfield 2:0
This season: CA Sarmiento Junin at home vs CA Belgrano de Cordoba away
| Metric | CA Sarmiento Junin · at home | CA Belgrano de Cordoba · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 14 |
| W–D–L | 8–1–3 | 6–6–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.42 | 0.93 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.83 | 0.79 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 42% | 36% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 03.05.2026 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 4:0 CA Sarmiento Junin
- 04.08.2024 CA Sarmiento Junin 0:0 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
- 20.02.2024 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 4:1 CA Sarmiento Junin
- 25.09.2023 CA Sarmiento Junin 0:0 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
- 04.04.2023 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0:0 CA Sarmiento Junin
- 20.11.2016 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 1:2 CA Sarmiento Junin
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Sarmiento Junin and CA Belgrano de Cordoba meet in the Primera LPF, Clausura in a matchup that appears evenly balanced. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence, with neither side holding a decisive overall advantage. That makes the central expectation a close contest in which small moments and defensive discipline could have a significant influence.
The game is projected to be low-scoring, while the possibility of both teams finding the net remains difficult to separate. A draw is a credible outcome, with 1:1 and 0:0 among the likely scorelines, although CA Belgrano de Cordoba also has a realistic route to a narrow victory, reflected by 0:1. Overall, the analysis gives a slight edge to the visitors in the combined draw-or-away perspective, but the margin is limited and the match should remain competitive throughout.
What matters before kick-off
Standings position
CA Sarmiento entered the match sitting second in Group B of the 2026 Torneo Clausura with 15 points, while CA Belgrano were seventh with 12 points.
Previous head-to-head meeting
In their previous meeting earlier in May 2026 during the Torneo Apertura, CA Belgrano defeated CA Sarmiento 4-0.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.