CA Tigre — CA Rosario Central: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 62.4% |
| 12 | 66.8% | |
| X2 | 70.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 44.0% / 56.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 86.2% / 13.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 64.0% / 36.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 35.3% / 64.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 16.3% / 83.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 6.3% / 93.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.1% / 97.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away Gimnasia L.P. 1:2
- 01.09.2026 home Barracas Central 0:0
- 24.08.2026 home Central Cordoba 2:1
- 15.08.2026 away Aldosivi 0:0
- 08.08.2026 home River Plate 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Newells Old Boys 1:1
- 29.08.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 1:2
- 25.08.2026 away Talleres Cordoba 2:2
- 17.08.2026 away Barracas Central 1:0
- 07.08.2026 home Aldosivi 2:1
This season: CA Tigre at home vs CA Rosario Central away
| Metric | CA Tigre · at home | CA Rosario Central · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 13 |
| W–D–L | 5–6–1 | 6–3–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.17 | 1.15 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.75 | 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 46% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 54% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 03.05.2026 CA Rosario Central 1:1 CA Tigre
- 21.05.2024 CA Rosario Central 1:1 CA Tigre
- 03.02.2023 CA Tigre 2:2 CA Rosario Central
- 09.08.2022 CA Tigre 3:1 CA Rosario Central
- 04.04.2022 CA Tigre 2:0 CA Rosario Central
- 17.02.2019 CA Rosario Central 0:2 CA Tigre
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Tigre and CA Rosario Central meet in the Primera LPF, Clausura in a contest that appears evenly matched. The available indicators point to a moderate level of confidence rather than a strong preference for either side, with the balance between home advantage and the visitors’ profile leaving little separation before kickoff.
The match is expected to be low-scoring, making patience and defensive organisation potentially important. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 0:0 and 0:1, which reflects a narrow range of outcomes rather than an open game with many clear chances. Whether both teams score is difficult to assess, so that aspect remains finely balanced. Overall, CA Rosario Central have a slight edge in the market signal for avoiding defeat, but the central assessment remains that the teams are evenly matched and a draw is a credible outcome.
What matters before kick-off
Match Officials Designated
Andrés Merlos has been appointed as the main referee for the round 9 Torneo Clausura 2026 fixture between CA Tigre and CA Rosario Central, with Gastón Monsón Brizuela in charge of VAR.
Previous Round Results
CA Tigre enter the match following a 2-1 defeat against Gimnasia La Plata, while CA Rosario Central drew 1-1 against Newell's Old Boys in their previous league outing.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.