Boca Juniors — CA Central Cordoba SE: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 85.6% |
| 12 | 76.3% | |
| X2 | 38.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 43.3% / 56.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.3% / 8.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 71.7% / 28.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 45.5% / 54.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 24.2% / 75.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 10.8% / 89.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.2% / 95.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away Gimnasia Mendoza 2:2
- 29.08.2026 home Lanus 1:0
- 24.08.2026 away Racing Club 1:1
- 16.08.2026 away Platense 1:1
- 08.08.2026 home Velez Sarsfield 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Independiente 0:1
- 30.08.2026 away Talleres Cordoba 0:0
- 24.08.2026 away Tigre 1:2
- 17.08.2026 home Instituto 0:1
- 11.08.2026 away Union de Santa Fe 2:1
This season: Boca Juniors at home vs CA Central Cordoba SE away
| Metric | Boca Juniors · at home | CA Central Cordoba SE · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 5–7–0 | 1–4–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.42 | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 42% | 25% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 02.05.2026 CA Central Cordoba SE 1:2 Boca Juniors
- 22.09.2025 Boca Juniors 2:2 CA Central Cordoba SE
- 08.03.2025 CA Central Cordoba SE 0:3 Boca Juniors
- 20.05.2024 CA Central Cordoba SE 2:4 Boca Juniors
- 14.02.2024 Boca Juniors 2:0 CA Central Cordoba SE
- 19.09.2023 CA Central Cordoba SE 0:3 Boca Juniors
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Boca Juniors meet CA Central Cordoba SE in the Primera LPF, Clausura, with the available assessment giving the hosts a clear but not overwhelming edge. The confidence is moderate, so the match should be approached as a contest in which Boca Juniors are better placed, rather than as a foregone conclusion. The scoring outlook is medium, suggesting a game that may develop without becoming especially open.
CA Central Cordoba SE remain capable of making the contest competitive, particularly because the assessment of both teams scoring is finely balanced. That makes the defensive details and the timing of the first goal important factors in how the match unfolds. The most plausible scorelines point toward a narrow Boca Juniors victory, with a controlled win also possible, while a draw remains part of the realistic range. Overall, Boca Juniors hold the stronger position, but the moderate confidence level argues for a measured reading of the home advantage.
What matters before kick-off
Busy schedule for Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors enter the domestic fixture just days after securing a 1-0 win against São Paulo in the first leg of the CONMEBOL Sudamericana quarter-finals.
Camilo Rey Domenech sidelined for Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors midfielder Camilo Rey Domenech suffered an adductor muscle tear during training and has been ruled out of the match against Central Córdoba.
Central Córdoba looking to break winless streak
Central Córdoba enter the match on a four-game winless run after losing 1-0 at home to Independiente in their last outing.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.