Houston Dynamo — Real Salt Lake: Win probabilities, 10.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 78.9% |
| 12 | 76.4% | |
| X2 | 44.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.0% / 43.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.3% / 5.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.3% / 19.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 57.2% / 42.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.8% / 65.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.1% / 81.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.2% / 91.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 10.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 away Charlotte 0:0
- 30.08.2026 home San Jose Earthquakes 0:0
- 23.08.2026 away St. Louis City 1:2
- 20.08.2026 away Vancouver Whitecaps 1:0
- 16.08.2026 home Los Angeles Galaxy 1:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Los Angeles FC 2:2
- 30.08.2026 away Colorado Rapids 0:1
- 23.08.2026 away Orlando City 1:2
- 20.08.2026 home FC Dallas 3:4
- 16.08.2026 home Minnesota United 1:1
This season: Houston Dynamo at home vs Real Salt Lake away
| Metric | Houston Dynamo · at home | Real Salt Lake · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 7–2–2 | 1–3–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.18 | 1.09 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.64 | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 64% |
| Both teams scored | 27% | 82% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 14.05.2026 Real Salt Lake 3:0 Houston Dynamo
- 13.07.2025 Real Salt Lake 1:0 Houston Dynamo
- 16.03.2025 Houston Dynamo 1:2 Real Salt Lake
- 15.09.2024 Houston Dynamo 4:1 Real Salt Lake
- 04.07.2024 Real Salt Lake 3:2 Houston Dynamo
- 11.11.2023 Houston Dynamo 1:1 Real Salt Lake
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Houston Dynamo enter this MLS meeting with a slight but well-supported edge over Real Salt Lake. The assessment points toward a competitive match in which the hosts have the stronger overall position, while the visitors remain capable of creating enough danger to keep the contest close. The most likely outcome is therefore a result favouring Houston Dynamo or a draw, rather than a clear separation between the teams.
The game is expected to produce a moderate number of goals, with both Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake likely to score. That combination suggests an open but balanced encounter, where defensive control may be difficult to maintain for the full match. A 1:1 draw is among the leading scorelines, while 2:1 and 2:0 also reflect the home side's slight advantage. Real Salt Lake should not be discounted, but Houston Dynamo have the clearer platform to take control of the decisive moments.
What matters before kick-off
Real Salt Lake availability report
Real Salt Lake have several players ruled out for the match due to injuries, including Justen Glad, Ariath Piol, Zach Booth, and Griffin Dillon.
Houston Dynamo home fixture
Houston Dynamo return to Shell Energy Stadium to host Real Salt Lake in a midweek Western Conference MLS fixture.
Real Salt Lake head-to-head streak
Real Salt Lake have won their last three consecutive matches against Houston Dynamo across all competitions.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.