Austin FC — Colorado Rapids: Win probabilities, 10.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.9% |
| 12 | 73.9% | |
| X2 | 59.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.7% / 41.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.7% / 6.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.9% / 21.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 54.9% / 45.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 32.6% / 67.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.5% / 83.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.2% / 92.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 10.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
- 30.08.2026 away Portland Timbers 2:1
- 23.08.2026 home Philadelphia Union 1:1
- 20.08.2026 away Seattle Sounders 2:1
- 17.08.2026 home FC Dallas 1:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 away Columbus Crew 0:3
- 30.08.2026 home Real Salt Lake 1:0
- 23.08.2026 away San Diego FC 0:3
- 20.08.2026 home Los Angeles FC 1:0
- 16.08.2026 home Sporting Kansas City 2:0
This season: Austin FC at home vs Colorado Rapids away
| Metric | Austin FC · at home | Colorado Rapids · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 4–4–3 | 2–1–9 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.36 | 0.83 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 42% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 02.08.2026 Colorado Rapids 1:0 Austin FC
- 08.06.2025 Colorado Rapids 0:2 Austin FC
- 09.03.2025 Austin FC 0:1 Colorado Rapids
- 20.10.2024 Austin FC 3:2 Colorado Rapids
- 16.06.2024 Colorado Rapids 2:0 Austin FC
- 01.10.2023 Colorado Rapids 1:0 Austin FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Austin FC and Colorado Rapids appear evenly matched ahead of their MLS meeting. The available assessment gives neither side a clear overall advantage, with moderate confidence in a balanced contest. The market signal leans toward a result that protects against a home defeat, but the gap between the teams remains narrow rather than decisive.
A medium-scoring match is the most suitable expectation, although there is no strong indication that both teams will score. That aspect looks finely balanced, so the game could develop through a cautious opening before becoming more open. The most plausible scorelines reflect the close nature of the matchup, with a draw or a one-goal victory for either Austin FC or Colorado Rapids all fitting the available picture. Overall, this looks like a competitive fixture in which small moments may carry significant weight, without a reliable basis for expecting one team to control the outcome.
What matters before kick-off
Player Availability Status
According to the official MLS player status report, Austin FC will be without Myrto Uzuni due to a lower body injury. Colorado Rapids are missing Zack Steffen, Ted Ku-DiPietro, Billo Diop, and Ali Fadal through injury.
Austin FC Recent Form
Austin FC enter the match unbeaten in their last four MLS games (two wins and two draws), most recently snatching a 1-1 draw against San Jose Earthquakes via a late stoppage-time equalizer.
Colorado Rapids Away Record
Colorado Rapids aim to snap a four-match away losing streak in MLS following a 3-0 road loss to Columbus Crew in their previous match.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.