DC United — Columbus Crew: Win probabilities, 09.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 63.4% |
| 12 | 74.0% | |
| X2 | 62.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.5% / 37.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.3% / 5.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.1% / 17.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.2% / 40.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.8% / 63.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.6% / 80.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.1% / 90.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 09.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 home Los Angeles FC 0:0
- 23.08.2026 away Charlotte 1:3
- 20.08.2026 home New England Revolution 0:3
- 16.08.2026 away CF Montreal 1:1
- 02.08.2026 home Nashville SC 2:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Colorado Rapids 3:0
- 30.08.2026 home New England Revolution 1:3
- 23.08.2026 away Nashville SC 2:3
- 20.08.2026 home CF Montreal 1:2
- 16.08.2026 away Charlotte 1:3
This season: DC United at home vs Columbus Crew away
| Metric | DC United · at home | Columbus Crew · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 3–4–4 | 1–3–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.36 | 1.55 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 2.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 91% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 91% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 20.07.2025 Columbus Crew 2:1 DC United
- 29.03.2025 DC United 1:2 Columbus Crew
- 29.09.2024 DC United 2:2 Columbus Crew
- 07.04.2024 Columbus Crew 1:1 DC United
- 09.04.2023 DC United 0:2 Columbus Crew
- 05.03.2023 Columbus Crew 2:0 DC United
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
DC United and Columbus Crew appear evenly matched ahead of their MLS meeting. The available assessment gives the hosts a slight edge in the sense that a home win or draw is favored over an away victory, but the gap between the teams remains limited. That points to a contest where neither side is likely to have sustained control throughout.
The match is projected to be medium-scoring, with both teams likely to find the net. A balanced exchange of chances could make a draw a realistic outcome, while the game may also be decided by which side makes better use of its opportunities. The range of likely scorelines reflects that uncertainty, with a one-goal margin in either direction also possible. Overall, the outlook is for a competitive fixture in which DC United have some protection from home advantage, but Columbus Crew remain fully capable of taking points.
What matters before kick-off
D.C. United's previous match postponed
D.C. United's scheduled fixture against FC Cincinnati on September 5, 2026, was postponed due to inclement weather and pitch conditions.
Player availability for Matchday 25
According to the official MLS Player Status Report for September 9, 2026, the Columbus Crew rule out Wessam Abou Ali, Sekou Bangoura, and Rudy Camacho, while D.C. United will be without Gabe Segal.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.