CF Montreal — Charlotte FC: Win probabilities, 09.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 63.7% |
| 12 | 76.1% | |
| X2 | 60.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 67.3% / 32.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.0% / 4.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.9% / 14.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 65.9% / 34.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 44.0% / 56.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 25.4% / 74.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.8% / 87.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 09.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 away Philadelphia Union 0:2
- 30.08.2026 away Inter Miami 1:7
- 23.08.2026 home Los Angeles Galaxy 2:2
- 20.08.2026 away Columbus Crew 2:1
- 16.08.2026 home DC United 1:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Houston Dynamo 0:0
- 30.08.2026 away Atlanta Utd 2:0
- 23.08.2026 home DC United 3:1
- 20.08.2026 away Toronto FC 3:3
- 16.08.2026 home Columbus Crew 3:1
This season: CF Montreal at home vs Charlotte FC away
| Metric | CF Montreal · at home | Charlotte FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 3–5–3 | 3–2–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.36 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.18 | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 60% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 28.09.2025 Charlotte FC 1:4 CF Montreal
- 13.04.2025 CF Montreal 0:1 Charlotte FC
- 06.10.2024 Charlotte FC 2:0 CF Montreal
- 15.09.2024 CF Montreal 2:1 Charlotte FC
- 16.07.2023 CF Montreal 2:0 Charlotte FC
- 25.06.2023 Charlotte FC 0:0 CF Montreal
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CF Montreal and Charlotte FC appear evenly matched for this MLS meeting. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, with a moderate level of confidence in that reading. This points toward a balanced contest in which control may shift between the teams rather than one side consistently dictating the match.
The stronger signal concerns the attacking outlook. The game is expected to be high-scoring, and both CF Montreal and Charlotte FC are likely to find the net. That combination suggests an open match with opportunities at both ends, although the evenly matched profile makes the result difficult to separate confidently. A draw is a credible possibility, while a narrow win for either team also fits the overall assessment. The most plausible score patterns remain close rather than one-sided, with the outcome likely decided by small moments in a competitive encounter.
What matters before kick-off
Ashley Westwood suspended
Charlotte FC midfielder Ashley Westwood is suspended for the match against CF Montreal after receiving a second yellow card in their previous match against Houston Dynamo FC.
CF Montreal's recent result
CF Montreal concluded a three-game away stretch with a 2-0 loss against the Philadelphia Union on September 5, 2026.
CF Montreal's home record vs Charlotte FC
CF Montreal holds a 3-1-0 home record all-time against Charlotte FC at Stade Saputo.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.