Hibernian FC — Shkendija Tetovo: Win probabilities, 06.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 87.5% |
| 12 | 78.6% | |
| X2 | 33.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 45.9% / 54.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.0% / 7.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.4% / 23.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.5% / 70.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.3% / 85.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.0% / 94.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Hibernian FC enter this UEFA Conference League qualification tie with a clear overall advantage over Shkendija Tetovo, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the assessment should be treated with some caution. The hosts are expected to control more of the match, particularly through sustained possession and territorial pressure, while Shkendija Tetovo may look to remain compact and threaten when opportunities to counter arise.
The scoring outlook points to a medium-scoring contest rather than an open exchange of chances. Hibernian FC appear more likely to create the better opportunities, but the possibility of both teams finding the net remains finely balanced. A controlled home performance could lead to a narrow victory, with scorelines such as 2:0 or 1:0 fitting the overall picture. A 1:1 draw is also a credible alternative if Shkendija Tetovo defend effectively and make efficient use of limited attacking opportunities.
What matters before kick-off
UEFA Conference League qualifying match
Scottish side Hibernian host North Macedonian club KF Shkendija at Easter Road in the first leg of the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round.
Recent results for both clubs
Hibernian reached the third qualifying round by overcoming Kosovan side FC Malisheva 4-3 on aggregate before losing 2-1 to Motherwell in their Scottish Premiership opener. KF Shkendija edged past Slovenian club NK Bravo 4-3 on aggregate in the previous round.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.