Heart of Midlothian FC — St. Johnstone FC: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 81.0% |
| 12 | 75.9% | |
| X2 | 43.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.3% / 42.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.9% / 6.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.5% / 18.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.0% / 42.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.6% / 64.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.7% / 81.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.5% / 91.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
Heart of Midlothian FC
5th place · 4 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away Falkirk 0:0
- 09.08.2026 home Dundee United 4:0
- 01.08.2026 away Aberdeen 1:2
- 16.05.2026 away Celtic 1:3
- 13.05.2026 home Falkirk 3:0
St. Johnstone FC
6th place · 4 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 home Celtic 0:0
- 08.08.2026 away St Mirren 0:1
- 02.08.2026 home Kilmarnock 4:3
- 01.05.2026 away Ayr 1:0
- 24.04.2026 home Raith Rvs 2:0
This season: Heart of Midlothian FC at home vs St. Johnstone FC away
| Metric | Heart of Midlothian FC · at home | St. Johnstone FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.10 | 1.13 |
| xG against per match | 0.54 | 1.36 |
| Shots on target per match | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 14.05.2025 Heart of Midlothian FC 2:1 St. Johnstone FC
- 23.02.2025 St. Johnstone FC 1:2 Heart of Midlothian FC
- 22.12.2024 Heart of Midlothian FC 2:1 St. Johnstone FC
- 02.11.2024 St. Johnstone FC 1:2 Heart of Midlothian FC
- 07.02.2024 St. Johnstone FC 0:1 Heart of Midlothian FC
- 25.11.2023 Heart of Midlothian FC 1:0 St. Johnstone FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Heart of Midlothian FC have a slight edge over St. Johnstone FC, although the low confidence attached to that assessment points to a competitive match rather than a one-sided contest. The available outlook gives the hosts a marginal advantage, but it does not establish a strong separation between the teams.
The game is expected to fall into a medium-scoring range, with the possibility of chances at both ends. Whether both teams score is finely balanced, so neither a clean sheet nor goals from both sides should be treated as the clear expectation. The scoring outlook leans towards an open match, while the most plausible scenarios include a draw or a narrow home victory. Overall, Heart of Midlothian FC appear better placed, but St. Johnstone FC remain capable of keeping the contest close.
What matters before kick-off
Heart of Midlothian vs St. Johnstone Premiership fixture
The Scottish Premiership match between Heart of Midlothian and St. Johnstone is set for Saturday, August 29, 2026, at Tynecastle Park. The fixture remained on schedule despite Hearts competing in the UEFA Conference League play-offs against Rapid Vienna.
League standings ahead of Tynecastle clash
Heading into their meeting on August 29, 2026, both Heart of Midlothian and St. Johnstone hold three points in the opening stages of the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership season.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.