Celtic Glasgow — Falkirk FC: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 93.3% |
| 12 | 87.0% | |
| X2 | 19.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.2% / 2.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.4% / 10.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 72.5% / 27.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 51.8% / 48.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 32.4% / 67.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.8% / 82.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
Celtic Glasgow
1st place · 7 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away St Johnstone 0:0
- 09.08.2026 away Kilmarnock 5:1
- 03.08.2026 home Dundee 1:0
- 16.05.2026 home Hearts 3:1
- 13.05.2026 away Motherwell 3:2
Falkirk FC
10th place · 2 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 home Hearts 0:0
- 09.08.2026 away Motherwell 0:0
- 01.08.2026 home St Mirren 0:2
- 16.05.2026 home Rangers 2:5
- 13.05.2026 away Hearts 0:3
This season: Celtic Glasgow at home vs Falkirk FC away
| Metric | Celtic Glasgow · at home | Falkirk FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.55 | 0.44 |
| xG against per match | 0.47 | 0.89 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Corners per match | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 25.04.2026 Celtic Glasgow 3:1 Falkirk FC
- 01.02.2026 Celtic Glasgow 2:0 Falkirk FC
- 14.01.2026 Falkirk FC 0:1 Celtic Glasgow
- 29.10.2025 Celtic Glasgow 4:0 Falkirk FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Celtic Glasgow go into this Premiership meeting with Falkirk FC as the clearly stronger side, and the high confidence in the assessment points to a substantial advantage for the hosts. The expected profile is an open, high-scoring contest, suggesting that Celtic Glasgow should create the greater share of the attacking pressure and chances.
Falkirk FC will need to remain disciplined without the ball and make the most of their opportunities when they arise. Whether both teams score is viewed as finely balanced, so the main distinction lies in Celtic Glasgow’s stronger overall position rather than a firm expectation that Falkirk FC will find the net. The most likely scorelines are 2:0, 3:0 and 2:1, all of which reflect control for the home side while allowing for some variation in how effective Falkirk FC can be in attack.
What matters before kick-off
Falkirk Injury News
Falkirk manager John McGlynn faces multiple squad absences against Celtic, with Aidan Nesbitt, Ethan Laidlaw, Keelan Adams, Scott Tanser, and Tom Lang all ruled out due to injury.
Celtic Midweek European Result
Celtic enter the Premiership fixture against Falkirk following a heavy 5-1 defeat to Austrian side LASK in the return leg of their UEFA Champions League qualifier, missing out on the league phase.
Celtic Collectible Matchday Programme
For each home Premiership fixture in the 2026/27 season, Celtic is releasing a collectible matchday programme celebrating the 60th anniversary of their historic 1966/67 campaign, with Jimmy Johnstone featured on the cover for the Falkirk game.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.