Dundee FC — Hibernian FC: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 59.5% |
| 12 | 71.7% | |
| X2 | 68.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 59.0% / 41.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.5% / 7.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.3% / 20.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 54.1% / 45.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 31.8% / 68.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.0% / 84.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.9% / 93.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Dundee FC and Hibernian FC meet in the Premiership in a fixture that looks evenly matched on the available indications. The confidence is moderate, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. The scoring outlook is medium, suggesting a game that could develop chances at both ends without necessarily becoming open from the start.
Both teams are likely to score, which points towards a competitive contest rather than a one-sided match. Hibernian FC have a slight edge in the broader outcome signal, but the range of likely scorelines, including 1:1, 1:2 and 2:1, underlines the uncertainty around the final result. Dundee FC should remain capable of challenging at home, while Hibernian FC may have enough attacking threat to avoid being outplayed. A balanced match with a narrow margin or a draw appears the most consistent reading.
What matters before kick-off
Hibernian's European exit
Hibernian enters the match following an exit from UEFA Conference League qualifying against Belgian side Gent after a 3-2 home defeat in Thursday's second leg.
Dundee FC derby triumph
Steven Pressley's Dundee FC comes into the fixture on the back of a 2-0 Dundee derby victory over Dundee United, secured via goals from Drey Wright and Owen Bevan.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.