Dundee FC — Hibernian FC: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 59.5% |
| 12 | 71.7% | |
| X2 | 68.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 59.0% / 41.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.5% / 7.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.3% / 20.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 54.1% / 45.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 31.8% / 68.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.0% / 84.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.9% / 93.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026
Dundee FC
4th place · 6 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away Dundee United 2:0
- 08.08.2026 home Aberdeen 2:0
- 03.08.2026 away Celtic 0:1
- 17.05.2026 home Aberdeen 3:2
- 12.05.2026 away Kilmarnock 1:3
Hibernian FC
6th place · 4 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 home Kilmarnock 0:0
- 09.08.2026 away Rangers 2:1
- 02.08.2026 home Motherwell 1:2
- 16.05.2026 home Motherwell 0:1
- 13.05.2026 away Rangers 2:1
This season: Dundee FC at home vs Hibernian FC away
| Metric | Dundee FC · at home | Hibernian FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.22 | 1.75 |
| xG against per match | 0.70 | 2.05 |
| Shots on target per match | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 28.02.2026 Dundee FC 3:3 Hibernian FC
- 22.11.2025 Hibernian FC 2:0 Dundee FC
- 03.08.2025 Dundee FC 1:2 Hibernian FC
- 13.04.2025 Hibernian FC 4:0 Dundee FC
- 23.11.2024 Dundee FC 4:1 Hibernian FC
- 24.08.2024 Hibernian FC 2:2 Dundee FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Dundee FC and Hibernian FC meet in the Premiership in a fixture that looks evenly matched on the available indications. The confidence is moderate, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. The scoring outlook is medium, suggesting a game that could develop chances at both ends without necessarily becoming open from the start.
Both teams are likely to score, which points towards a competitive contest rather than a one-sided match. Hibernian FC have a slight edge in the broader outcome signal, but the range of likely scorelines, including 1:1, 1:2 and 2:1, underlines the uncertainty around the final result. Dundee FC should remain capable of challenging at home, while Hibernian FC may have enough attacking threat to avoid being outplayed. A balanced match with a narrow margin or a draw appears the most consistent reading.
What matters before kick-off
Hibernian's European exit
Hibernian enters the match following an exit from UEFA Conference League qualifying against Belgian side Gent after a 3-2 home defeat in Thursday's second leg.
Dundee FC derby triumph
Steven Pressley's Dundee FC comes into the fixture on the back of a 2-0 Dundee derby victory over Dundee United, secured via goals from Drey Wright and Owen Bevan.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.