Aberdeen FC — Glasgow Rangers: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 49.3% |
| 12 | 74.7% | |
| X2 | 76.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.5% / 37.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.3% / 5.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.9% / 16.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.3% / 38.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 39.0% / 61.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.3% / 78.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.2% / 89.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026
Aberdeen FC
8th place · 4 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away Motherwell 0:0
- 08.08.2026 away Dundee 0:2
- 01.08.2026 home Hearts 2:1
- 17.05.2026 away Dundee 2:3
- 12.05.2026 home St Mirren 0:2
Glasgow Rangers
10th place · 2 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 home St Mirren 0:0
- 09.08.2026 home Hibernian 1:2
- 31.07.2026 away Dundee United 1:1
- 16.05.2026 away Falkirk 5:2
- 13.05.2026 home Hibernian 1:2
This season: Aberdeen FC at home vs Glasgow Rangers away
| Metric | Aberdeen FC · at home | Glasgow Rangers · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.66 | 1.46 |
| xG against per match | 1.83 | 1.64 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 21.03.2026 Glasgow Rangers 4:1 Aberdeen FC
- 11.01.2026 Aberdeen FC 0:2 Glasgow Rangers
- 06.01.2026 Glasgow Rangers 2:0 Aberdeen FC
- 11.05.2025 Glasgow Rangers 4:0 Aberdeen FC
- 13.04.2025 Aberdeen FC 2:2 Glasgow Rangers
- 15.01.2025 Glasgow Rangers 3:0 Aberdeen FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Aberdeen FC host Glasgow Rangers in a Premiership meeting that points towards an open and competitive contest. The available assessment gives Glasgow Rangers a slight edge for the visitors, while the overall scoring outlook is high. That combination suggests the match may be shaped by attacking intent rather than a cautious approach, with both sides carrying a credible threat in front of goal.
Aberdeen FC are also expected to contribute to the scoring, so Glasgow Rangers’ advantage does not necessarily imply a one-sided game. The strongest overall signal supports Glasgow Rangers avoiding defeat, while the balance of the contest still leaves room for Aberdeen FC to make the match difficult. With both teams likely to score, the outcome may depend on which side manages the key moments more effectively, particularly in a game where chances are expected at both ends.
What matters before kick-off
Rangers suffer mid-week European elimination ahead of clash
Glasgow Rangers enter the match following an exit from UEFA Conference League qualifying, suffering a penalty shootout defeat to Czech side Jablonec in mid-week.
Rangers seeking first league win of the campaign
Rangers are looking for their first Scottish Premiership victory of the season after picking up just one point from their opening two league fixtures.
Aberdeen secured League Cup quarter-final spot
Aberdeen won their previous home fixture 3-0 against Dundee at Pittodrie to advance to the quarter-finals of the Scottish League Cup.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.