Match intelligence

Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC — GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Win probabilities, 16.09.2026

League: UEFA Europa League · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC0
:
0GNK Dinamo Zagreb
Locked signal X2 Probability 76.9% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 23.1% Home win Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC
X 23.1% Draw
W2 53.7% Away win GNK Dinamo Zagreb
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
X277.5%
Both teams to score
Yes63.9%
Totals 2.5
Over64.3%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X46.3%
1276.3%
X277.5%
Both teams to scoreYes/No63.9% / 36.1%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 95.2% / 4.8%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 85.5% / 14.5%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 64.3% / 35.7%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 42.2% / 57.8%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 24.0% / 76.0%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 11.9% / 88.1%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC × GNK Dinamo Zagreb
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 4.8%
0:1 6.2%
0:2 7.5%
0:3 5.1%
0:4 2.6%
0:5 1.1%
1
1:0 3.5%
1:1 10.7%
1:2 9.6%
1:3 6.5%
1:4 3.3%
1:5 1.4%
2
2:0 3.0%
2:1 6.0%
2:2 6.2%
2:3 4.2%
2:4 2.1%
2:5 0.9%
3
3:0 1.3%
3:1 2.6%
3:2 2.6%
3:3 1.8%
3:4 0.9%
3:5 0.4%
4
4:0 0.4%
4:1 0.8%
4:2 0.8%
4:3 0.6%
4:4 0.3%
4:5 0.1%
5
5:0 0.1%
5:1 0.2%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.1%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.7%
1:29.6%
0:27.5%
1:36.5%
0:16.2%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 16.09.2026

Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC

Last 3 matches · latest first

  • 11.08.2026 away FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 2:0
  • 04.08.2026 home FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:0
  • 29.07.2026 home Vikingur Reykjavik 2:0

GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Last 3 matches · latest first

  • 11.08.2026 away FK Kauno Zalgiris 2:1
  • 04.08.2026 home FK Kauno Zalgiris 5:0
  • 28.07.2026 home FC Thun 3:2

Head-to-head

No previous meetings found in the available data.

Sources: oddmind.app. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC host GNK Dinamo Zagreb in the UEFA Europa League, with the available assessment pointing to a slight but clear advantage for the visitors. The away side is rated more likely to avoid defeat, while the overall outlook suggests a competitive match rather than a one-sided contest. The main result signal is therefore toward GNK Dinamo Zagreb or a draw.

The game is expected to have an open scoring pattern, with both teams likely to find the net. That points to a match in which attacking moments may carry more weight than defensive control, particularly if either side scores early. The most representative scorelines are 1:1 and 1:2, with 0:2 also included among the likely outcomes. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC have enough attacking potential in this assessment to remain involved, but GNK Dinamo Zagreb hold the stronger overall position.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Neutral venue in Bucharest

Hapoel Be'er Sheva are staging their European home fixtures in Romania at the Rapid-Giulești Stadium in Bucharest.

Schedule

Recent domestic form

Ahead of the Europa League fixture, Hapoel Be'er Sheva won 2-0 against Hapoel Petah Tikva, while Dinamo Zagreb suffered a 4-2 defeat to Osijek.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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