Fulham — Hull City: Win probabilities, 17.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
58.3%
Home win
Fulham
X
22.8%
Draw
W2
18.9%
Away win
Hull City
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X81.1%
Both teams to score
Yes54.5%
Totals 2.5
Over56.0%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 81.1% |
| 12 | 77.2% | |
| X2 | 41.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.5% / 45.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.2% / 5.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.4% / 20.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.0% / 44.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.6% / 66.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.2% / 82.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.7% / 92.3% |
Goal distribution model
Fulham × Hull City
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.8%
0:1
5.0%
0:2
2.7%
0:3
0.9%
0:4
0.2%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
9.9%
1:1
10.8%
1:2
5.2%
1:3
1.7%
1:4
0.4%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
9.9%
2:1
9.9%
2:2
5.0%
2:3
1.7%
2:4
0.4%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
6.3%
3:1
6.4%
3:2
3.2%
3:3
1.1%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
3.0%
4:1
3.1%
4:2
1.5%
4:3
0.5%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
1.2%
5:1
1.2%
5:2
0.6%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.8%
2:19.9%
2:09.9%
1:09.9%
3:16.4%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 17.10.2026
Fulham
19th place · 2 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Man United 1:1
- 12.09.2026 away Liverpool 0:0
- 05.09.2026 home Crystal Palace 2:3
- 30.08.2026 away Sunderland 0:1
- 24.08.2026 home Chelsea 2:3
Hull City
8th place · 8 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Newcastle 1:2
- 12.09.2026 away Chelsea 2:2
- 05.09.2026 home Aston Villa 0:0
- 29.08.2026 away Coventry 1:0
- 22.08.2026 home Man United 2:0
This season: Fulham at home vs Hull City away
| Metric | Fulham · at home | Hull City · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–2 | 1–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| xG for per match | 2.04 | 1.23 |
| xG against per match | 1.76 | 1.21 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.00 | 3.67 |
| Corners per match | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
Fulham wins3
Draws0
Hull City wins1
Goals per match1.75
Both teams scored0/4
Over 2.5 goals1/4
- 12.02.2022 Hull City 0:1 Fulham
- 21.08.2021 Fulham 2:0 Hull City
- 11.01.2020 Hull City 0:1 Fulham
- 02.11.2019 Fulham 0:3 Hull City
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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