Frosinone Calcio — Sassuolo Calcio: Win probabilities, 16.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
37.9%
Home win
Frosinone Calcio
X
25.8%
Draw
W2
36.4%
Away win
Sassuolo Calcio
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1274.2%
Both teams to score
Yes69.5%
Totals 2.5
Over67.3%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 63.6% |
| 12 | 74.2% | |
| X2 | 62.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 69.5% / 30.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.2% / 4.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.8% / 12.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.3% / 32.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 45.6% / 54.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 26.9% / 73.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.8% / 86.2% |
Goal distribution model
Frosinone Calcio × Sassuolo Calcio
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.8%
0:1
3.7%
0:2
4.6%
0:3
2.6%
0:4
1.1%
0:5
0.4%
1
1:0
3.8%
1:1
11.1%
1:2
8.0%
1:3
4.6%
1:4
2.0%
1:5
0.7%
2
2:0
4.8%
2:1
8.2%
2:2
7.0%
2:3
4.0%
2:4
1.7%
2:5
0.6%
3
3:0
2.8%
3:1
4.8%
3:2
4.1%
3:3
2.4%
3:4
1.0%
3:5
0.3%
4
4:0
1.2%
4:1
2.1%
4:2
1.8%
4:3
1.0%
4:4
0.4%
4:5
0.2%
5
5:0
0.4%
5:1
0.7%
5:2
0.6%
5:3
0.4%
5:4
0.2%
5:5
0.1%
Most likely scores
1:111.1%
2:18.2%
1:28.0%
2:27.0%
0:04.8%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 16.10.2026
Frosinone Calcio
6th place · 10 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Como 2:0
- 12.09.2026 away Genoa 1:1
- 06.09.2026 home Venezia 3:2
- 29.08.2026 away Fiorentina 3:0
- 23.08.2026 home Juventus 0:1
Sassuolo Calcio
10th place · 7 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.09.2026 away Monza 1:2
- 13.09.2026 home Juventus 3:2
- 06.09.2026 away Bologna 2:2
- 29.08.2026 home Torino 2:1
- 23.08.2026 away Atalanta 1:2
This season: Frosinone Calcio at home vs Sassuolo Calcio away
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio · at home | Sassuolo Calcio · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 2–0–1 | 0–1–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.50 | 1.97 |
| xG against per match | 2.16 | 1.41 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.33 | 7.33 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
Frosinone Calcio wins2
Draws0
Sassuolo Calcio wins2
Goals per match2.75
Both teams scored2/4
Over 2.5 goals2/4
- 13.05.2025 Sassuolo Calcio 0:1 Frosinone Calcio
- 14.12.2024 Frosinone Calcio 1:2 Sassuolo Calcio
- 09.03.2024 Sassuolo Calcio 1:0 Frosinone Calcio
- 17.09.2023 Frosinone Calcio 4:2 Sassuolo Calcio
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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