FK Auda Riga — Fotbal Club FCSB: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 37.7% |
| 12 | 79.1% | |
| X2 | 83.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.9% / 49.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.5% / 5.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.8% / 22.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 54.6% / 45.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 32.2% / 67.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.2% / 83.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.1% / 92.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FK Auda Riga and Fotbal Club FCSB meet in the UEFA Conference League Qualification with a slight edge toward the visitors, although the low confidence level points to a match with considerable uncertainty. Fotbal Club FCSB appear better placed in the assessment, but the gap is not strong enough to suggest a predictable contest. FK Auda Riga will have a realistic opportunity to make the match competitive, particularly if they can keep the game balanced through the opening stages.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, with plausible paths ranging from a narrow Fotbal Club FCSB victory to a draw. The most consistent scoreline indications are 0:1 and 0:2, while 1:1 also reflects the uncertainty around the result. Both teams scoring is considered a coin flip, so the match could develop either as a controlled away performance or as a more open contest in which FK Auda Riga find a response. Overall, the visitors hold the clearer but still modest advantage.
What matters before kick-off
First Leg Result
On 23 July 2026, FK Auda secured a 3-2 away victory against FCSB in the first leg of the UEFA Conference League second qualifying round.
FK Auda Recent Result
On 26 July 2026, FK Auda earned a 1-0 victory over Daugavpils in the Latvian top division.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.