Feyenoord Rotterdam — FC Utrecht: Win probabilities, 20.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 91.6% |
| 12 | 84.8% | |
| X2 | 23.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.7% / 42.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.9% / 3.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 90.0% / 10.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 73.0% / 27.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 33.0% / 67.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 18.3% / 81.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 20.09.2026
Feyenoord Rotterdam
3rd place · 14 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 13.09.2026 away Zwolle 7:0
- 05.09.2026 away Nijmegen 3:1
- 30.08.2026 home Den Haag 2:2
- 23.08.2026 away Cambuur 5:2
- 16.08.2026 home Go Ahead Eagles 2:2
FC Utrecht
15th place · 5 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 13.09.2026 away Excelsior 2:1
- 08.09.2026 home Go Ahead Eagles 3:3
- 05.09.2026 home Go Ahead Eagles 1:3
- 30.08.2026 home PSV Eindhoven 1:6
- 22.08.2026 away Sparta Rotterdam 3:3
This season: Feyenoord Rotterdam at home vs FC Utrecht away
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam · at home | FC Utrecht · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 0–2–0 | 1–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.69 | 1.87 |
| xG against per match | 0.88 | 1.29 |
| Shots on target per match | 9.00 | 5.67 |
| Corners per match | 8.50 | 3.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 08.02.2026 FC Utrecht 0:1 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- 05.10.2025 Feyenoord Rotterdam 3:2 FC Utrecht
- 12.01.2025 Feyenoord Rotterdam 1:2 FC Utrecht
- 27.10.2024 FC Utrecht 0:2 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- 31.03.2024 Feyenoord Rotterdam 4:2 FC Utrecht
- 03.09.2023 FC Utrecht 1:5 Feyenoord Rotterdam
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Feyenoord Rotterdam go into this Eredivisie meeting with a clear advantage over FC Utrecht. The assessment points to the hosts being clearly stronger, with a high level of confidence behind that view. Their superiority should give them control of important phases of the match, although FC Utrecht remain capable of making the contest uncomfortable if they find space to attack.
The expected pattern is an open, high-scoring game rather than a tightly contained one. Both teams are likely to score, which suggests FC Utrecht may create enough opportunities to contribute, even if Feyenoord Rotterdam are better placed to dictate the overall outcome. The main question is whether the visitors can turn their attacking moments into sustained pressure, or whether the hosts’ greater strength will gradually separate the sides. A home win is the leading expectation, with a competitive scoreline more plausible than a one-sided shutout.
What matters before kick-off
Recent League Result
Feyenoord head into the match against FC Utrecht on the back of a resounding 7-0 victory over PEC Zwolle in their previous Eredivisie fixture.
Team Availability Updates
Feyenoord's injury list ahead of the game includes Bart Nieuwkoop, Gijs Smal and Thomas Beelen, while FC Utrecht are missing Victor Jensen and Kevin Paredes.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.