Feyenoord Rotterdam — Como 1907: Win probabilities, 14.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
26.0%
Home win
Feyenoord Rotterdam
X
23.3%
Draw
W2
50.7%
Away win
Como 1907
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1276.7%
Both teams to score
Yes68.8%
Totals 2.5
Over69.2%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 49.3% |
| 12 | 76.7% | |
| X2 | 74.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 68.8% / 31.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.1% / 3.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.3% / 11.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 69.2% / 30.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 47.9% / 52.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 28.8% / 71.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 15.2% / 84.8% |
Goal distribution model
Feyenoord Rotterdam × Como 1907
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.9%
0:1
4.8%
0:2
6.2%
0:3
4.3%
0:4
2.2%
0:5
0.9%
1
1:0
3.0%
1:1
9.8%
1:2
9.1%
1:3
6.4%
1:4
3.3%
1:5
1.4%
2
2:0
3.1%
2:1
6.4%
2:2
6.7%
2:3
4.7%
2:4
2.5%
2:5
1.0%
3
3:0
1.5%
3:1
3.2%
3:2
3.3%
3:3
2.3%
3:4
1.2%
3:5
0.5%
4
4:0
0.6%
4:1
1.2%
4:2
1.2%
4:3
0.9%
4:4
0.4%
4:5
0.2%
5
5:0
0.2%
5:1
0.3%
5:2
0.4%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.1%
Most likely scores
1:19.8%
1:29.1%
2:26.7%
2:16.4%
1:36.4%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 14.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Utrecht 5:0
- 13.09.2026 away Zwolle 7:0
- 05.09.2026 away Nijmegen 3:1
- 30.08.2026 home Den Haag 2:2
- 23.08.2026 away Cambuur 5:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away Frosinone 0:2
- 14.09.2026 home Parma 2:1
- 04.09.2026 away Genoa 4:1
- 30.08.2026 away Napoli 2:1
- 22.08.2026 away Udinese 1:1
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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