FCI Levadia Tallinn — IFK Goteborg: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 53.3% |
| 12 | 76.6% | |
| X2 | 70.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 64.8% / 35.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.9% / 4.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.4% / 15.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 63.9% / 36.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.8% / 58.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.6% / 76.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.6% / 88.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FCI Levadia Tallinn host IFK Goteborg in a UEFA Conference League qualification tie that looks set to produce an open contest. The available assessment points towards a high-scoring match, with both teams likely to find the net. That suggests Levadia will have opportunities in attack, but the hosts may also leave spaces for Goteborg to exploit.
IFK Goteborg hold a slight edge, although the moderate confidence indicates a competitive matchup rather than a one-sided affair. The draw remains a realistic possibility, making the away-or-draw scenario the more cautious reading of the balance between the teams. Scorelines such as 1-1, 1-2, or 2-1 reflect the expected uncertainty, with the decisive moments likely to come from how effectively each side manages the transitions between attack and defence.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.