FC Twente Enschede — SC Telstar: Win probabilities, 09.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 93.0% |
| 12 | 87.0% | |
| X2 | 20.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 59.1% / 40.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.7% / 2.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 92.3% / 7.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 77.8% / 22.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 58.8% / 41.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 39.3% / 60.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 23.2% / 76.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Twente Enschede come into this Eredivisie meeting as the clearly stronger side, with a high level of confidence in their position. SC Telstar face a demanding challenge away from home, but the overall assessment points toward the hosts controlling more of the match and creating the more dangerous opportunities.
The scoring outlook suggests an open contest rather than a tightly contained one. Both teams are considered likely to score, which could give SC Telstar moments of threat even if FC Twente Enschede remain in the stronger position. The hosts should be better placed to dictate the tempo and turn territorial control into chances, while the visitors may look to respond through their own attacking phases. Overall, the analysis favours a home win in a potentially high-scoring match, with FC Twente Enschede holding the clearer advantage.
What matters before kick-off
Postponed Eredivisie fixture
The match between FC Twente and SC Telstar in Enschede was originally rescheduled due to FC Twente's participation in European qualifying rounds.
FC Twente injury updates
FC Twente midfielder Kristian Hlynsson and defender Stav Lemkin are ruled out of the match through injury.
Red card rescinded for SC Telstar
SC Telstar forward Nökkvi Thórissen is available to play after the red card he received against SC Cambuur was officially rescinded.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.