FC Twente Enschede — SC Telstar: Win probabilities, 09.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 93.0% |
| 12 | 87.0% | |
| X2 | 20.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 59.1% / 40.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.7% / 2.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 92.3% / 7.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 77.8% / 22.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 58.8% / 41.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 39.3% / 60.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 23.2% / 76.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 09.09.2026
FC Twente Enschede
8th place · 7 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 away Groningen 2:2
- 30.08.2026 away Cambuur 4:1
- 16.08.2026 home Zwolle 3:1
- 09.08.2026 away Heerenveen 0:1
- 17.05.2026 away PSV Eindhoven 1:5
SC Telstar
14th place · 4 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Cambuur 2:2
- 30.08.2026 home Ajax 0:4
- 14.08.2026 home Sparta Rotterdam 1:3
- 08.08.2026 away Nijmegen 2:1
- 17.05.2026 away Volendam 2:1
This season: FC Twente Enschede at home vs SC Telstar away
| Metric | FC Twente Enschede · at home | SC Telstar · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.08 | 1.66 |
| xG against per match | 0.68 | 2.15 |
| Shots on target per match | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 15.02.2026 SC Telstar 1:1 FC Twente Enschede
- 07.11.2025 FC Twente Enschede 0:0 SC Telstar
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
FC Twente Enschede come into this Eredivisie meeting as the clearly stronger side, with a high level of confidence in their position. SC Telstar face a demanding challenge away from home, but the overall assessment points toward the hosts controlling more of the match and creating the more dangerous opportunities.
The scoring outlook suggests an open contest rather than a tightly contained one. Both teams are considered likely to score, which could give SC Telstar moments of threat even if FC Twente Enschede remain in the stronger position. The hosts should be better placed to dictate the tempo and turn territorial control into chances, while the visitors may look to respond through their own attacking phases. Overall, the analysis favours a home win in a potentially high-scoring match, with FC Twente Enschede holding the clearer advantage.
What matters before kick-off
Postponed Eredivisie fixture
The match between FC Twente and SC Telstar in Enschede was originally rescheduled due to FC Twente's participation in European qualifying rounds.
FC Twente injury updates
FC Twente midfielder Kristian Hlynsson and defender Stav Lemkin are ruled out of the match through injury.
Red card rescinded for SC Telstar
SC Telstar forward Nökkvi Thórissen is available to play after the red card he received against SC Cambuur was officially rescinded.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.