FC Iberia 1999 — Larne FC: Win probabilities, 11.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 83.3% |
| 12 | 73.5% | |
| X2 | 43.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.8% / 51.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.0% / 9.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.5% / 25.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.8% / 52.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.1% / 73.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.1% / 87.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.8% / 95.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Iberia 1999 have a slight edge over Larne FC in this UEFA Europa League qualification tie, although the low confidence level points to a closely contested match rather than a clear advantage. The available assessment leans towards the home side, but the margin between the teams appears limited, leaving the outcome open as the game develops.
The match is projected to be medium-scoring, with neither a high-scoring contest nor a tightly restricted encounter standing out as the most likely scenario. Both teams scoring is also finely balanced, so the game could turn on which side makes better use of its opportunities. A narrow FC Iberia 1999 victory is one plausible path, while a draw remains a realistic alternative. Larne FC should therefore remain competitive, particularly if they can keep the hosts from establishing control early.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg result
The first leg between Larne and FC Iberia 1999 in the UEFA Europa League third qualifying round ended in a 0-0 draw at Inver Park.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.