FC Dinamo City — FK Auda Riga: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.4% |
| 12 | 76.4% | |
| X2 | 52.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.1% / 41.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.9% / 5.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.0% / 21.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.4% / 43.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.0% / 66.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.5% / 82.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.8% / 92.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Dinamo City have a slight edge over FK Auda Riga in this UEFA Conference League qualification tie, although the moderate confidence suggests a contest with limited separation between the sides. The available assessment points toward a medium-scoring match, with the hosts marginally better positioned but without a decisive advantage.
The possibility of both teams scoring is balanced, making the match difficult to frame as either a one-sided home performance or a clearly open exchange. FC Dinamo City may look to use home advantage to control the tempo and create the clearer opportunities, while FK Auda Riga should remain capable of contributing in attack. Overall, the signal favours FC Dinamo City avoiding defeat, but the draw remains a credible outcome and the visitors have enough presence to keep the tie competitive.
What matters before kick-off
FK Auda holds first-leg advantage
In the first leg of the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round, Latvian side FK Auda secured a 1-0 victory over Albanian club FC Dinamo City thanks to a goal from Barthélémy Diedhiou.
Suspension for Fabjan Përndreca
FC Dinamo City defender Fabjan Përndreca was sent off in the 71st minute of the first leg against FK Auda after receiving a second yellow card.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.