FC Cincinnati — Seattle Sounders: Win probabilities, 22.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 77.8% |
| 12 | 77.8% | |
| X2 | 44.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 70.1% / 29.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.4% / 3.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 90.1% / 9.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 72.4% / 27.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 51.7% / 48.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 32.4% / 67.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.8% / 82.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 22.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.08.2026 home New York City 2:1
- 16.08.2026 away Orlando City 1:1
- 02.08.2026 home San Jose Earthquakes 4:2
- 26.07.2026 away Columbus Crew 1:2
- 23.07.2026 home Vancouver Whitecaps 4:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.08.2026 home Austin FC 1:2
- 17.08.2026 home Vancouver Whitecaps 0:2
- 02.08.2026 away Portland Timbers 1:2
- 26.07.2026 away Philadelphia Union 0:1
- 23.07.2026 away Austin FC 1:3
This season: FC Cincinnati at home vs Seattle Sounders away
| Metric | FC Cincinnati · at home | Seattle Sounders · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 10 | 10 |
| W–D–L | 7–1–2 | 3–2–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 3.00 | 0.70 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 40% |
Head-to-head · Last 3 meetings
- 12.03.2023 FC Cincinnati 1:0 Seattle Sounders
- 28.09.2022 Seattle Sounders 1:1 FC Cincinnati
- 03.03.2019 Seattle Sounders 4:1 FC Cincinnati
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
FC Cincinnati meet Seattle Sounders in an MLS fixture that projects to be open and competitive. The assessment gives FC Cincinnati a slight edge, although the moderate confidence suggests a match with meaningful uncertainty rather than a clear gap between the sides. Home advantage may be an important factor, but Seattle Sounders remain capable of making the contest difficult.
The scoring outlook points toward a high-scoring game, with both teams likely to find the net. That makes the balance of the match particularly important: FC Cincinnati may have the better overall position, while Seattle Sounders could still contribute significantly in attack. The main market signal is both teams to score, which fits a game that may develop through chances at both ends rather than one-sided control. A narrow home win and a draw are both plausible scenarios, with scorelines such as 2:1 or 1:1 reflecting the expected competitive nature of the meeting.
What matters before kick-off
Injury Crisis for Seattle Sounders
Seattle Sounders head coach Brian Schmetzer is dealing with a severe squad depletion due to injuries to several key players, including Paul Arriola, Jesús Ferreira, Jordan Morris, and most recently Jackson Ragen.
Packed August Schedule for FC Cincinnati
The match against the Seattle Sounders marks FC Cincinnati's eighth game in August during one of the busiest fixture periods in club history.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.