Falkirk FC — Heart of Midlothian FC: Win probabilities, 15.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 50.7% |
| 12 | 74.3% | |
| X2 | 75.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.1% / 39.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.8% / 6.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.5% / 18.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.0% / 42.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.6% / 64.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.7% / 81.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.5% / 91.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.09.2026
Falkirk FC
11th place · 3 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away Dundee United 1:1
- 02.09.2026 home Rangers 1:2
- 29.08.2026 away Celtic 1:2
- 22.08.2026 home Hearts 0:0
- 09.08.2026 away Motherwell 0:0
Heart of Midlothian FC
3rd place · 13 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Dundee 2:1
- 03.09.2026 away Hibernian 3:1
- 29.08.2026 home St Johnstone 2:1
- 22.08.2026 away Falkirk 0:0
- 09.08.2026 home Dundee United 4:0
This season: Falkirk FC at home vs Heart of Midlothian FC away
| Metric | Falkirk FC · at home | Heart of Midlothian FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–2 | 1–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.78 | 1.33 |
| xG against per match | 1.61 | 2.18 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 4.50 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 5 meetings
- 22.08.2026 Falkirk FC 0:0 Heart of Midlothian FC
- 13.05.2026 Heart of Midlothian FC 3:0 Falkirk FC
- 21.02.2026 Heart of Midlothian FC 1:0 Falkirk FC
- 13.12.2025 Falkirk FC 0:2 Heart of Midlothian FC
- 27.09.2025 Heart of Midlothian FC 3:0 Falkirk FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Falkirk FC face Heart of Midlothian FC in a Premiership match where the visitors hold a slight edge. The overall assessment points towards a competitive contest rather than a one-sided game, with the draw also remaining a realistic possibility. The strongest directional signal supports Heart of Midlothian FC avoiding defeat, while the high confidence level indicates that this away-side advantage is considered a meaningful one within the available assessment.
The match is projected to be medium-scoring, and both teams are likely to find the net. That combination suggests an open enough contest for Falkirk FC to create opportunities, even though Heart of Midlothian FC appear better placed in the result outlook. The most plausible scorelines include a draw with goals, alongside a narrow away win or a more controlled victory for Heart of Midlothian FC. Overall, the balance favours the visitors, but the expected competitiveness leaves room for Falkirk FC to make the match close.
What matters before kick-off
Match Rescheduled
The Scottish Premiership match between Falkirk and Hearts at The Falkirk Stadium was rescheduled for Tuesday, 15 September 2026.
Supporter Information
Hearts confirmed that away section tickets for the Premiership match against Falkirk at the Falkirk Stadium are completely sold out.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.