Everton — Ipswich Town: Win probabilities, 19.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 78.5% |
| 12 | 75.0% | |
| X2 | 46.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.3% / 43.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.4% / 6.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.4% / 20.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.2% / 44.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 32.8% / 67.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.7% / 83.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.3% / 92.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.09.2026
Everton
9th place · 6 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 12.09.2026 away Tottenham 0:0
- 06.09.2026 home Man United 2:2
- 29.08.2026 away Bournemouth 1:1
- 22.08.2026 home Crystal Palace 2:0
- 24.05.2026 away Tottenham 0:1
Ipswich Town
10th place · 6 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 12.09.2026 away Crystal Palace 3:2
- 04.09.2026 home Liverpool 0:2
- 30.08.2026 away Man United 2:5
- 22.08.2026 home Sunderland 2:1
- 02.05.2026 home QPR 3:0
This season: Everton at home vs Ipswich Town away
| Metric | Everton · at home | Ipswich Town · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–0 | 1–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 3.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.07 | 1.85 |
| xG against per match | 1.33 | 2.59 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.50 | 5.50 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 03.05.2025 Everton 2:2 Ipswich Town
- 19.10.2024 Ipswich Town 0:2 Everton
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Everton have a slight edge over Ipswich Town, although the low confidence level points to a fairly open contest rather than a clearly defined mismatch. The available assessment places the game in a medium-scoring range, suggesting that neither side is expected to dominate the match completely. Everton’s home advantage gives them a modest structural benefit, but the outlook remains balanced enough for Ipswich Town to stay competitive.
Both teams scoring is considered a coin flip, so the match could develop in either direction depending on which side makes better use of its opportunities. The most plausible scorelines include 1:1, 2:1, and 2:0, reflecting a contest where Everton may have the stronger overall position but where a draw remains a realistic outcome. The main analytical signal is BTTS, although it does not point decisively toward one scenario.
What matters before kick-off
Everton injury updates
Christian Norgaard remains unavailable due to a groin injury, while Merlin Rohl is doubtful for the clash with Ipswich.
Everton's League Cup result
Everton enter the match after securing a 1-0 victory over Wolverhampton Wanderers in the EFL Cup third round.
Ipswich Town squad news
Ipswich Town midfielder Jack Taylor is ruled out of the fixture due to a knee injury.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.