Estudiantes Rio Cuarto — Racing Club Avellaneda: Win probabilities, 05.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 55.3% |
| 12 | 69.6% | |
| X2 | 75.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 45.5% / 54.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.3% / 11.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 67.0% / 33.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 39.1% / 60.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 19.1% / 80.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 7.8% / 92.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.7% / 97.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away Belgrano 1:2
- 15.09.2026 away Instituto 1:2
- 04.09.2026 home Sarmiento Junin 0:2
- 29.08.2026 away Huracan 1:1
- 22.08.2026 home San Lorenzo 0:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Sarmiento Junin 3:1
- 14.09.2026 away Huracan 1:2
- 07.09.2026 home Atl. Tucuman 1:2
- 31.08.2026 away Ind. Rivadavia 1:3
- 24.08.2026 home Boca Juniors 1:1
This season: Estudiantes Rio Cuarto at home vs Racing Club Avellaneda away
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto · at home | Racing Club Avellaneda · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 15 |
| W–D–L | 2–3–8 | 4–5–6 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.38 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.07 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 15% | 47% |
| Both teams scored | 15% | 53% |
Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings
- 16.03.2026 Racing Club Avellaneda 2:0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto face Racing Club Avellaneda in a Primera LPF, Clausura fixture that points toward a cautious, low-scoring contest. The available assessment gives Racing Club Avellaneda a slight edge, with high confidence in that overall signal. This suggests the visitors enter the match with the stronger underlying outlook, although the draw remains a relevant possibility.
The scoring profile points toward a game where clear-cut chances may be limited. The most likely scorelines provided are 0:1, 1:1, and 0:0, all consistent with a restrained attacking pattern. The assessment of both teams scoring is essentially balanced, so there is no strong indication that both sides will find the net. Overall, the match profile favors Racing Club Avellaneda avoiding defeat, while Estudiantes Rio Cuarto remain capable of keeping the contest close.
What matters before kick-off
Managerial change at Racing Club
Racing Club enter the match with interim head coach Sebastián Romero in charge, replacing Juan Pablo Vojvoda following the team's Copa Argentina elimination against Boca Juniors.
Recent run for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Rubén Forestello's Estudiantes Rio Cuarto side come into the fixture having suffered three consecutive league defeats against Belgrano, Instituto, and Sarmiento.
Head-to-head record
This match marks only the second official meeting between the two clubs; their first encounter took place in March 2026, ending in a 2-0 victory for Racing Club.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.