CA Huracan — CA Aldosivi: Win probabilities, 04.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 85.6% |
| 12 | 72.0% | |
| X2 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 40.8% / 59.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.1% / 11.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 67.6% / 32.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 39.5% / 60.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 19.4% / 80.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 8.0% / 92.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 2.8% / 97.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 04.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away River Plate 2:1
- 14.09.2026 home Racing Club 2:1
- 04.09.2026 away Belgrano 1:1
- 29.08.2026 home Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1:1
- 23.08.2026 home Dep. Riestra 0:0
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 21.09.2026 home Atl. Tucuman 1:0
- 12.09.2026 away Ind. Rivadavia 3:4
- 05.09.2026 home Banfield 3:1
- 30.08.2026 away Argentinos Jrs 1:2
- 21.08.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 1:3
This season: CA Huracan at home vs CA Aldosivi away
| Metric | CA Huracan · at home | CA Aldosivi · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 13 |
| W–D–L | 6–4–3 | 0–2–11 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.15 | 0.69 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.77 | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 54% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 16.03.2026 CA Aldosivi 0:0 CA Huracan
- 12.10.2025 CA Aldosivi 2:0 CA Huracan
- 05.04.2025 CA Huracan 3:3 CA Aldosivi
- 07.08.2022 CA Aldosivi 0:1 CA Huracan
- 26.04.2022 CA Aldosivi 0:2 CA Huracan
- 04.09.2021 CA Huracan 2:0 CA Aldosivi
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Huracan enter this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting with a slight edge over CA Aldosivi, although the overall confidence in that assessment is low. The available outlook points toward a medium-scoring contest, with the home side holding the more favorable position in the pre-match assessment. That advantage should be viewed cautiously rather than as an indication of a likely decisive result.
The scoring outlook also leans toward a controlled game, with a clean sheet considered likely and the market signal pointing toward Under. The listed scorelines of 1:0 and 2:0 reflect the home edge and defensive expectation, while 1:1 remains a plausible alternative. Overall, CA Huracan have the clearer side of the matchup on the available information, but the low confidence suggests that the margin between the teams should not be overstated.
What matters before kick-off
Huracán defender Ibáñez suspended
CA Huracán defender César Ibáñez is ruled out of the Torneo Clausura matchday 11 fixture against CA Aldosivi due to yellow card accumulation.
Huracán's recent form
CA Huracán enter the fixture on a two-match winning streak in the league, having secured consecutive 2-1 victories against Racing and River Plate.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.