Match intelligence

CA Talleres de Cordoba — CA Belgrano de Cordoba: Win probabilities, 04.10.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

× Prediction missed
CA Talleres de Cordoba0
:
1CA Belgrano de Cordoba
Locked signal 1X Probability 66.1% Verdict Miss
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 34.6% Home win CA Talleres de Cordoba
X 31.5% Draw
W2 33.9% Away win CA Belgrano de Cordoba
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1268.5%
Both teams to score
No51.0%
Totals 2.5
Under58.9%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X66.1%
1268.5%
X265.4%
Both teams to scoreYes/No49.0% / 51.0%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 88.6% / 11.4%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 69.2% / 30.8%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 41.1% / 58.9%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 20.6% / 79.4%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 8.7% / 91.3%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 3.2% / 96.8%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

CA Talleres de Cordoba × CA Belgrano de Cordoba
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 11.4%
0:1 9.6%
0:2 6.5%
0:3 2.5%
0:4 0.7%
0:5 0.2%
1
1:0 9.7%
1:1 14.9%
1:2 7.6%
1:3 2.9%
1:4 0.9%
1:5 0.2%
2
2:0 6.7%
2:1 7.7%
2:2 4.5%
2:3 1.7%
2:4 0.5%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 2.6%
3:1 3.0%
3:2 1.7%
3:3 0.7%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 0.8%
4:1 0.9%
4:2 0.5%
4:3 0.2%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.2%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:114.9%
0:011.4%
1:09.7%
0:19.6%
2:17.7%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 04.10.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 20.09.2026 away Instituto 1:3
  • 13.09.2026 home Union de Santa Fe 2:1
  • 05.09.2026 away San Lorenzo 0:1
  • 30.08.2026 home Central Cordoba 0:0
  • 25.08.2026 home Rosario Central 2:2

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 20.09.2026 home Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2:1
  • 13.09.2026 away Sarmiento Junin 1:1
  • 04.09.2026 home Huracan 1:1
  • 30.08.2026 away Atl. Tucuman 0:0
  • 23.08.2026 home Defensa y Justicia 1:2

This season: CA Talleres de Cordoba at home vs CA Belgrano de Cordoba away

Metric CA Talleres de Cordoba · at home CA Belgrano de Cordoba · away
Matches1315
W–D–L5–3–56–7–2
Goals scored per match1.080.93
Goals conceded per match1.150.80
Over 2.5 goals54%27%
Both teams scored46%40%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

CA Talleres de Cordoba wins0
Draws5
CA Belgrano de Cordoba wins1
Goals per match1.17
Both teams scored2/6
Over 2.5 goals1/6
  • 09.05.2026 CA Talleres de Cordoba 0:1 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
  • 15.03.2026 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0:0 CA Talleres de Cordoba
  • 05.10.2025 CA Talleres de Cordoba 0:0 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
  • 30.03.2025 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 1:1 CA Talleres de Cordoba
  • 06.10.2024 CA Talleres de Cordoba 0:0 CA Belgrano de Cordoba
  • 24.02.2024 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2:2 CA Talleres de Cordoba

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

CA Talleres de Cordoba and CA Belgrano de Cordoba meet in the Primera LPF, Clausura in a fixture that looks evenly matched. The available assessment gives the contest a moderate level of confidence, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That balance suggests a match where the tactical approach and efficiency in key moments could be important.

The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, while the assessment of both teams finding the net is essentially balanced. The most plausible scorelines point toward a relatively tight contest, with 1:1 standing alongside 0:0 and 1:0 as the leading possibilities. Overall, the profile points to a competitive game between CA Talleres de Cordoba and CA Belgrano de Cordoba, with limited separation between the two sides.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Availability

Talleres squad updates ahead of derby

Talleres enter the derby without forward Agustín Álvarez Martínez due to suspension and Alexandro Maidana, who was called up to the Paraguay national team. Matías Gómez continued with individualized training.

Team news

Talleres changed manager prior to the clash

Earlier in the tournament, Talleres replaced head coach Jorge Sampaoli with Omar De Felippe.

Match fact

Previous meeting in the Apertura 2026 round of 16

In May 2026, Belgrano defeated Talleres 1-0 in the Apertura round of 16 thanks to a goal by Francisco González Metilli, eliminating their rivals.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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