Match intelligence

Deportivo Riestra AFBC — CA Central Cordoba SE: Win probabilities, 05.10.2026

League: Primera LPF, Clausura (Argentina) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Deportivo Riestra AFBC1
:
1CA Central Cordoba SE
Locked signal 1X Probability 80.8% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 52.1% Home win Deportivo Riestra AFBC
X 28.7% Draw
W2 19.2% Away win CA Central Cordoba SE
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X80.8%
Both teams to score
No59.6%
Totals 2.5
Under63.4%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X80.8%
1271.3%
X247.9%
Both teams to scoreYes/No40.4% / 59.6%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 87.8% / 12.2%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 64.1% / 35.9%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 36.6% / 63.4%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 17.2% / 82.8%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 6.8% / 93.2%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 2.3% / 97.7%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Deportivo Riestra AFBC × CA Central Cordoba SE
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 12.2%
0:1 8.0%
0:2 3.2%
0:3 0.8%
0:4 0.2%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 15.6%
1:1 12.8%
1:2 4.6%
1:3 1.1%
1:4 0.2%
1:5 0.0%
2
2:0 11.5%
2:1 8.6%
2:2 3.2%
2:3 0.8%
2:4 0.1%
2:5 0.0%
3
3:0 5.4%
3:1 4.0%
3:2 1.5%
3:3 0.4%
3:4 0.1%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 1.9%
4:1 1.4%
4:2 0.5%
4:3 0.1%
4:4 0.0%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.5%
5:1 0.4%
5:2 0.1%
5:3 0.0%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:015.6%
1:112.9%
0:012.2%
2:011.5%
2:18.6%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 05.10.2026

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 19.09.2026 away Gimnasia Mendoza 0:0
  • 14.09.2026 home Lanus 0:3
  • 04.09.2026 away Platense 1:1
  • 29.08.2026 home Velez Sarsfield 1:1
  • 23.08.2026 away Huracan 0:0

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 18.09.2026 home Defensa y Justicia 2:2
  • 12.09.2026 away Boca Juniors 1:3
  • 06.09.2026 home Independiente 0:1
  • 30.08.2026 away Talleres Cordoba 0:0
  • 24.08.2026 away Tigre 1:2

This season: Deportivo Riestra AFBC at home vs CA Central Cordoba SE away

Metric Deportivo Riestra AFBC · at home CA Central Cordoba SE · away
Matches1313
W–D–L3–6–41–4–8
Goals scored per match0.770.38
Goals conceded per match0.691.46
Over 2.5 goals15%31%
Both teams scored23%31%

Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings

Deportivo Riestra AFBC wins2
Draws1
CA Central Cordoba SE wins1
Goals per match1.00
Both teams scored0/4
Over 2.5 goals0/4
  • 18.03.2026 CA Central Cordoba SE 1:0 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
  • 12.09.2025 Deportivo Riestra AFBC 2:0 CA Central Cordoba SE
  • 01.03.2025 CA Central Cordoba SE 0:0 Deportivo Riestra AFBC
  • 05.08.2024 Deportivo Riestra AFBC 1:0 CA Central Cordoba SE

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Deportivo Riestra AFBC enter this Primera LPF, Clausura meeting with a slight but meaningful edge over CA Central Cordoba SE. The assessment carries high confidence, pointing toward the hosts having the stronger overall position in a match where margins could remain narrow.

The scoring outlook is cautious, with a low-scoring contest expected. A clean sheet is considered likely, which reinforces the view that defensive stability may have a significant influence on the outcome. The most plausible scorelines are 1:0, 1:1, and 0:0, all suggesting a game that could be decided by a small moment rather than sustained attacking dominance.

Overall, Deportivo Riestra AFBC have the clearer edge, while CA Central Cordoba SE remain capable of keeping the contest close. The match profile favors patience and defensive organization, with limited goals likely to shape the encounter.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Recent official results

In their previous league matches, Deportivo Riestra drew 0-0 away against Gimnasia Mendoza, while Central Cordoba drew 2-2 at home with Defensa y Justicia.

Team news

Winless streaks for both teams

Both clubs enter this fixture on six-match winless runs in league play.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

Check current terms · 1WIN18+ Bonus up to $500 Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗

Other matches

→ Primera LPF, Clausura

OFFICIAL ODDMIND.APP TELEGRAM CHANNEL New predictions — automatically in Telegram Get new signals and full-analysis links as soon as they are published. Join the channel

How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

ONE PERSON. AN INDEPENDENT PROJECT.

One person behind the project. Your support makes a difference.

The project currently runs at a loss. A voluntary contribution helps with hosting, data and AI services.

Support the project
18+ All materials are informational and do not guarantee any outcome. Predictions are produced by an automated model; the method is described on the Method page. Responsible gambling

Finding oddmind.app useful?

One person keeps this project running, and it currently brings more expenses than income. If you would like to help, a small voluntary contribution makes a difference.

Support the project
Completely optional. You can keep using the site without donating.