CA Banfield — CA Rosario Central: Win probabilities, 06.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 50.6% |
| 12 | 70.7% | |
| X2 | 78.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 46.9% / 53.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 89.2% / 10.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 69.8% / 30.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 42.1% / 57.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 21.4% / 78.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 9.1% / 90.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.4% / 96.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Gimnasia L.P. 2:2
- 14.09.2026 home Barracas Central 1:1
- 05.09.2026 away Aldosivi 1:3
- 30.08.2026 home River Plate 2:3
- 23.08.2026 away Newells Old Boys 1:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Argentinos Jrs 1:0
- 13.09.2026 away Tigre 1:0
- 06.09.2026 home Newells Old Boys 1:1
- 29.08.2026 home Gimnasia L.P. 1:2
- 25.08.2026 away Talleres Cordoba 2:2
This season: CA Banfield at home vs CA Rosario Central away
| Metric | CA Banfield · at home | CA Rosario Central · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 14 |
| W–D–L | 5–3–4 | 7–3–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.33 | 1.14 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 43% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 15.03.2026 CA Rosario Central 2:1 CA Banfield
- 20.10.2024 CA Rosario Central 1:1 CA Banfield
- 30.01.2024 CA Rosario Central 0:0 CA Banfield
- 29.08.2023 CA Banfield 3:0 CA Rosario Central
- 29.05.2023 CA Banfield 2:0 CA Rosario Central
- 22.08.2022 CA Rosario Central 0:1 CA Banfield
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CA Banfield and CA Rosario Central meet in the Primera LPF, Clausura with the available assessment giving CA Rosario Central a slight edge. The overall confidence in that assessment is high, while the expected scoring profile points toward a medium-scoring match. The main directional signal is toward CA Rosario Central avoiding defeat, suggesting the visitors enter this matchup with the stronger overall position.
The scoring outlook remains relatively balanced between the teams. Both sides scoring is described as a coin flip, so there is no clear indication that either team is particularly likely to find the net. The most plausible scorelines listed are 1:1, 0:1, and 0:2, which reflect a range from a competitive draw to a controlled CA Rosario Central victory. Overall, the matchup appears to favor the visitors modestly, while leaving room for CA Banfield to keep the contest close.
What matters before kick-off
Banfield injury update
Banfield player Alexander Machado suffered a right hamstring tear, while Favio Álvarez is dealing with muscle overload in his right calf.
Rosario Central squad absences
Rosario Central goalkeeper Axel Werner is out with an injury, while defender Agustín Sández is suspended for the match.
Rosario Central enter match following cup triumph
Jorge Almirón's Rosario Central come into the fixture fresh off winning the Supercopa Internacional with a 3–1 victory over Estudiantes in Santiago del Estero.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.