Espanyol Barcelona — Levante UD: Win probabilities, 16.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.0% |
| 12 | 70.6% | |
| X2 | 55.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.5% / 9.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.8% / 26.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 46.8% / 53.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.2% / 74.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.5% / 88.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.5% / 95.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 16.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.05.2026 home Sociedad 1:1
- 17.05.2026 away Osasuna 2:1
- 13.05.2026 home Ath Bilbao 2:0
- 09.05.2026 away Sevilla 1:2
- 03.05.2026 home Real Madrid 0:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.05.2026 away Betis 1:2
- 17.05.2026 home Mallorca 2:0
- 12.05.2026 away Celta 3:2
- 08.05.2026 home Osasuna 3:2
- 02.05.2026 away Villarreal 1:5
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 27.04.2026 Espanyol Barcelona 0:0 Levante UD
- 11.01.2026 Levante UD 1:1 Espanyol Barcelona
- 04.02.2024 Espanyol Barcelona 2:1 Levante UD
- 08.09.2023 Levante UD 1:4 Espanyol Barcelona
- 12.03.2022 Levante UD 1:1 Espanyol Barcelona
- 11.12.2021 Espanyol Barcelona 4:3 Levante UD
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Espanyol Barcelona host Levante UD in a LaLiga meeting that projects as a relatively balanced contest with a slight edge for the home side. The available assessment points toward a medium-scoring match, suggesting that neither team is expected to dominate the game completely. Espanyol Barcelona should benefit from playing at home, but Levante UD remain capable of making the contest competitive.
The possibility of both teams scoring is finely balanced, so the match could develop in several different ways. A controlled draw is among the plausible outcomes, while narrow home success is also consistent with the overall assessment. The most likely scorelines include 1:1, 1:0 and 0:0, reflecting the limited separation between the teams and the expectation of a measured game. Overall, Espanyol Barcelona have the clearer edge, but Levante UD should remain within reach if they maintain their structure and take advantage of their opportunities.
What matters before kick-off
2026/27 LaLiga Season Opener
Espanyol and Levante UD face off on 16 August 2026 at the RCDE Stadium in the opening round of the 2026/27 LaLiga season.
Registration Issues for Levante
Levante players Hugo Sotelo and Yanis Musuayi miss the league opener against Espanyol due to pending registration issues.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.