RC Deportivo De A Coruna — Elche CF: Win probabilities, 17.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.9% |
| 12 | 68.6% | |
| X2 | 56.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 89.1% / 10.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 72.7% / 27.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 44.5% / 55.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 23.3% / 76.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 10.3% / 89.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.9% / 96.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
RC Deportivo De A Coruna enter this LaLiga fixture with a slight home advantage over Elche CF. The available assessment points toward a medium-scoring match, although the balance between a home win and a draw remains important. That suggests a contest in which RC Deportivo De A Coruna may have the stronger overall position, but not enough separation to expect a one-sided game.
The possibility of both teams scoring is finely balanced, so the match could develop in several directions. A draw is a realistic outcome, particularly if the opening stages are cautious and neither side creates a clear early advantage. The most plausible scorelines indicate a generally tight encounter, with 1-1, 0-0, and 1-0 all fitting the broader assessment. Overall, RC Deportivo De A Coruna have a slight edge, while Elche CF remain well placed to make the game competitive.
What matters before kick-off
Deportivo's LaLiga Return
The match against Elche marks Deportivo La Coruña's return to the Spanish top flight after an eight-year absence.
Elche Injury Absences
Elche players Yago Santiago and Grady Diangana are unavailable for the season opener due to injury.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.