RC Deportivo De La Coruna — Elche CF: Win probabilities, 17.08.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.4% |
| 12 | 70.4% | |
| X2 | 58.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.3% / 46.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.6% / 9.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.2% / 25.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.3% / 52.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.6% / 74.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.8% / 88.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.6% / 95.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
RC Deportivo De La Coruna have a slight edge over Elche CF in this LaLiga meeting, although the moderate confidence level points to a contest with limited separation between the sides. The available assessment leans towards the home team, but it does not suggest a clearly one-sided match. The 1X signal also reflects that Deportivo are favoured to avoid defeat, with a draw remaining a realistic outcome.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, while the possibility of both teams finding the net is finely balanced. That combination leaves several plausible match patterns, from a cautious draw to a narrow home victory. A 1-1 result fits the balanced aspects of the projection, while 0-0 would reflect a more restrained game. A 1-0 win for RC Deportivo De La Coruna is the clearest route associated with their home advantage, but Elche CF should remain competitive throughout.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.