RC Deportivo de La Coruna — Elche CF: Win probabilities, 17.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.0% |
| 12 | 68.5% | |
| X2 | 57.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.1% / 48.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 89.0% / 11.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 72.4% / 27.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 44.2% / 55.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 23.0% / 77.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 10.1% / 89.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.8% / 96.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 17.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 31.05.2026 home Las Palmas 1:2
- 24.05.2026 away Valladolid 2:0
- 17.05.2026 home Andorra 2:1
- 08.05.2026 away Cadiz 1:0
- 01.05.2026 home Leganes 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.05.2026 away Girona 1:1
- 17.05.2026 home Getafe 1:0
- 12.05.2026 away Betis 1:2
- 09.05.2026 home Alaves 1:1
- 03.05.2026 away Celta 1:3
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
- 01.06.2025 RC Deportivo de La Coruna 0:4 Elche CF
- 13.10.2024 Elche CF 0:0 RC Deportivo de La Coruna
- 23.06.2020 Elche CF 0:1 RC Deportivo de La Coruna
- 10.11.2019 RC Deportivo de La Coruna 1:3 Elche CF
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
RC Deportivo de La Coruna host Elche CF in LaLiga on 17 August 2026, with the home side holding a slight but credible advantage in the pre-match assessment. The outlook points towards a competitive contest rather than a clear mismatch, and home advantage gives RC Deportivo de La Coruna the stronger platform. Elche CF should remain involved, particularly if they can keep the game balanced and limit the hosts’ opportunities in the decisive areas.
The expected tempo suggests a medium-scoring match, although neither side is clearly favoured to score consistently throughout. Both teams scoring is considered an even proposition, which reflects the uncertainty around how open the match will become. The main reading is therefore a result that leans towards RC Deportivo de La Coruna without ruling out a draw. Elche CF have a viable route to taking something from the fixture, while the hosts appear better placed to avoid defeat and make their home advantage count.
What matters before kick-off
Elche CF to miss Diangana and Yago Santiago
Elche CF head coach Martín Anselmi confirmed that Grady Diangana and Yago Santiago are ruled out of the season opener against RC Deportivo de La Coruña due to injuries.
RC Deportivo return to top flight after 8 years
RC Deportivo de La Coruña play their first Spanish top-flight match after an eight-year absence, hosting Elche CF at the Estadio Abanca-Riazor.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.