Deportivo Alaves — Getafe CF: Win probabilities, 15.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.8% |
| 12 | 65.5% | |
| X2 | 59.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 39.2% / 60.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 83.7% / 16.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 59.1% / 40.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 30.4% / 69.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 13.0% / 87.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 4.6% / 95.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 1.4% / 98.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.08.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.05.2026 home Vallecano 1:2
- 17.05.2026 away Oviedo 1:0
- 13.05.2026 home Barcelona 1:0
- 09.05.2026 away Elche 1:1
- 02.05.2026 home Ath Bilbao 2:4
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.05.2026 home Osasuna 1:0
- 17.05.2026 away Elche 0:1
- 13.05.2026 home Mallorca 3:1
- 10.05.2026 away Oviedo 0:0
- 03.05.2026 home Vallecano 0:2
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 08.02.2026 Deportivo Alaves 0:2 Getafe CF
- 24.09.2025 Getafe CF 1:1 Deportivo Alaves
- 09.02.2025 Deportivo Alaves 0:1 Getafe CF
- 28.09.2024 Getafe CF 2:0 Deportivo Alaves
- 18.05.2024 Deportivo Alaves 1:0 Getafe CF
- 28.08.2023 Getafe CF 1:0 Deportivo Alaves
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Deportivo Alaves have a slight but clear edge over Getafe CF in this LaLiga meeting. The overall expectation is for a cautious contest, with limited space and relatively few clear scoring opportunities. That points toward a match shaped by defensive organisation and patience rather than sustained attacking momentum.
The scoring outlook is low, and a clean sheet is considered likely, making a narrow home result or a draw the most plausible directions. The central scorelines are 0:0, 1:1 and 1:0, which underline how fine the margins may be. Deportivo Alaves should be marginally better placed to control the important phases at home, but Getafe CF remain capable of keeping the game close if they maintain their defensive structure.
What matters before kick-off
LaLiga Season Opener
Deportivo Alaves host Getafe CF at Estadio de Mendizorroza in the opening matchday of the 2026/27 LaLiga season.
Head-to-Head Streak
Getafe CF enter the fixture unbeaten in their last four competitive encounters against Deportivo Alaves.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.