Eintracht Frankfurt — Hamburger SV: Win probabilities, 01.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
58.5%
Home win
Eintracht Frankfurt
X
21.5%
Draw
W2
20.0%
Away win
Hamburger SV
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X80.0%
Both teams to score
Yes66.1%
Totals 2.5
Over69.2%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.0% |
| 12 | 78.5% | |
| X2 | 41.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 66.1% / 33.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.2% / 3.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.1% / 11.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 69.2% / 30.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 47.8% / 52.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 28.8% / 71.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 15.2% / 84.8% |
Goal distribution model
Eintracht Frankfurt × Hamburger SV
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.8%
0:1
2.7%
0:2
2.4%
0:3
1.0%
0:4
0.3%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
5.5%
1:1
9.2%
1:2
5.4%
1:3
2.3%
1:4
0.8%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
7.3%
2:1
9.4%
2:2
6.1%
2:3
2.6%
2:4
0.9%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
5.5%
3:1
7.2%
3:2
4.6%
3:3
2.0%
3:4
0.6%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
3.1%
4:1
4.1%
4:2
2.6%
4:3
1.1%
4:4
0.4%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
1.4%
5:1
1.9%
5:2
1.2%
5:3
0.5%
5:4
0.2%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
2:19.4%
1:19.2%
2:07.3%
3:17.2%
2:26.1%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.11.2026
Eintracht Frankfurt
14th place · 8 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 away Dortmund 0:1
- 16.10.2026 home FC Koln 1:0
- 10.10.2026 away RB Leipzig 0:6
- 19.09.2026 home Freiburg 2:2
- 12.09.2026 away Mainz 3:1
Hamburger SV
11th place · 9 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 away Paderborn 0:1
- 17.10.2026 home Stuttgart 1:0
- 10.10.2026 away Hoffenheim 3:2
- 19.09.2026 home FC Koln 2:1
- 13.09.2026 away RB Leipzig 0:5
This season: Eintracht Frankfurt at home vs Hamburger SV away
| Metric | Eintracht Frankfurt · at home | Hamburger SV · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–1 | 1–0–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.33 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| xG for per match | 2.07 | 0.91 |
| xG against per match | 1.67 | 1.54 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| Corners per match | 6.33 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 25% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
Eintracht Frankfurt wins0
Draws1
Hamburger SV wins1
Goals per match2.50
Both teams scored2/2
Over 2.5 goals1/2
- 02.05.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt 1:2 Hamburger SV
- 20.12.2025 Hamburger SV 1:1 Eintracht Frankfurt
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W2 | was 4.33 → now 4.50 |
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