Borussia Monchengladbach — SC Paderborn 07: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
50.4%
Home win
Borussia Monchengladbach
X
23.4%
Draw
W2
26.2%
Away win
SC Paderborn 07
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1276.6%
Both teams to score
Yes66.3%
Totals 2.5
Over66.3%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.8% |
| 12 | 76.6% | |
| X2 | 49.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 66.3% / 33.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.8% / 4.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.3% / 13.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 66.3% / 33.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 44.4% / 55.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 25.8% / 74.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.1% / 86.9% |
Goal distribution model
Borussia Monchengladbach × SC Paderborn 07
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.2%
0:1
3.8%
0:2
3.3%
0:3
1.5%
0:4
0.5%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
5.7%
1:1
10.2%
1:2
6.6%
1:3
3.1%
1:4
1.1%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
6.6%
2:1
9.3%
2:2
6.6%
2:3
3.1%
2:4
1.1%
2:5
0.3%
3
3:0
4.4%
3:1
6.2%
3:2
4.4%
3:3
2.1%
3:4
0.7%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
2.2%
4:1
3.1%
4:2
2.2%
4:3
1.0%
4:4
0.4%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.9%
5:1
1.2%
5:2
0.9%
5:3
0.4%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.2%
2:19.3%
2:06.6%
2:26.6%
1:26.6%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Borussia Monchengladbach
18th place · 3 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.10.2026 away Stuttgart 3:2
- 18.10.2026 home Hoffenheim 1:2
- 11.10.2026 away FC Koln 1:2
- 19.09.2026 home Mainz 3:4
- 12.09.2026 away Freiburg 0:5
SC Paderborn 07
13th place · 8 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Hamburg 1:0
- 17.10.2026 away Werder Bremen 2:2
- 10.10.2026 home Stuttgart 0:2
- 20.09.2026 home Hoffenheim 3:1
- 12.09.2026 away Dortmund 0:3
This season: Borussia Monchengladbach at home vs SC Paderborn 07 away
| Metric | Borussia Monchengladbach · at home | SC Paderborn 07 · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–3 | 0–2–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.33 | 0.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.33 | 1.67 |
| xG for per match | 2.03 | 0.79 |
| xG against per match | 2.31 | 2.07 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.33 | 1.33 |
| Corners per match | 7.33 | 2.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 33% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
Borussia Monchengladbach wins2
Draws0
SC Paderborn 07 wins0
Goals per match3.00
Both teams scored1/2
Over 2.5 goals1/2
- 20.06.2020 SC Paderborn 07 1:3 Borussia Monchengladbach
- 18.12.2019 Borussia Monchengladbach 2:0 SC Paderborn 07
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.