Eintracht Frankfurt — FC Augsburg: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.5% |
| 12 | 77.0% | |
| X2 | 49.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 70.5% / 29.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.4% / 3.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.4% / 10.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 71.2% / 28.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 50.3% / 49.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 31.0% / 69.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 16.8% / 83.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Eintracht Frankfurt host FC Augsburg in a Bundesliga meeting that points towards an open and competitive contest. The assessment gives Eintracht Frankfurt a slight edge, with high confidence, but the gap between the teams is not expected to be decisive. FC Augsburg have a realistic path into the game, particularly if they can make the most of the spaces created by an attacking approach from the hosts.
The match is projected to be high-scoring, and both teams are considered likely to find the net. That makes a controlled, one-sided game less likely and places greater importance on defensive organisation after possession is lost. Eintracht Frankfurt should have the stronger overall position, while FC Augsburg remain capable of keeping the result in balance. The clearest analytical signal is therefore in favour of Eintracht Frankfurt avoiding defeat, rather than an outright home win.
What matters before kick-off
FC Augsburg Lineup Adjustments
Arijon Ibrahimović makes his first starting appearance for FC Augsburg against Eintracht Frankfurt. Anton Kade misses out due to muscular issues.
FC Augsburg's Record Opening Match
FC Augsburg secured their best-ever Bundesliga season start by defeating Schalke 04 3-0 in matchweek one.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.