Eintracht Frankfurt — FC Augsburg: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.5% |
| 12 | 77.0% | |
| X2 | 49.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 70.5% / 29.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.4% / 3.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.4% / 10.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 71.2% / 28.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 50.3% / 49.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 31.0% / 69.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 16.8% / 83.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
Eintracht Frankfurt
11th place · 1 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Union Berlin 3:3
- 16.05.2026 home Stuttgart 2:2
- 08.05.2026 away Dortmund 2:3
- 02.05.2026 home Hamburg 1:2
- 25.04.2026 away Augsburg 1:1
FC Augsburg
6th place · 3 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 home Schalke 04 3:0
- 16.05.2026 away Union Berlin 0:4
- 09.05.2026 home M'gladbach 3:1
- 02.05.2026 away Werder Bremen 3:1
- 25.04.2026 home Ein Frankfurt 1:1
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 25.04.2026 FC Augsburg 1:1 Eintracht Frankfurt
- 13.12.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt 1:0 FC Augsburg
- 20.04.2025 FC Augsburg 0:0 Eintracht Frankfurt
- 07.12.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt 2:2 FC Augsburg
- 19.04.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt 3:1 FC Augsburg
- 03.12.2023 FC Augsburg 2:1 Eintracht Frankfurt
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Eintracht Frankfurt host FC Augsburg in a Bundesliga meeting that points towards an open and competitive contest. The assessment gives Eintracht Frankfurt a slight edge, with high confidence, but the gap between the teams is not expected to be decisive. FC Augsburg have a realistic path into the game, particularly if they can make the most of the spaces created by an attacking approach from the hosts.
The match is projected to be high-scoring, and both teams are considered likely to find the net. That makes a controlled, one-sided game less likely and places greater importance on defensive organisation after possession is lost. Eintracht Frankfurt should have the stronger overall position, while FC Augsburg remain capable of keeping the result in balance. The clearest analytical signal is therefore in favour of Eintracht Frankfurt avoiding defeat, rather than an outright home win.
What matters before kick-off
FC Augsburg Lineup Adjustments
Arijon Ibrahimović makes his first starting appearance for FC Augsburg against Eintracht Frankfurt. Anton Kade misses out due to muscular issues.
FC Augsburg's Record Opening Match
FC Augsburg secured their best-ever Bundesliga season start by defeating Schalke 04 3-0 in matchweek one.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.