EC Bahia BA — SC Internacional RS: Win probabilities, 30.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 79.6% |
| 12 | 74.2% | |
| X2 | 46.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.6% / 44.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.8% / 7.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.1% / 20.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 54.3% / 45.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 32.0% / 68.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.0% / 84.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.0% / 93.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.08.2026
EC Bahia BA
6th place · 37 pts after 24Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 away Vitoria 2:0
- 16.08.2026 away Chapecoense-SC 3:3
- 09.08.2026 home Vasco 0:0
- 30.07.2026 away Fluminense 0:0
- 26.07.2026 home Corinthians 1:1
SC Internacional RS
15th place · 25 pts after 24Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 home Atletico-MG 0:0
- 18.08.2026 home Remo 1:1
- 09.08.2026 away Palmeiras 0:0
- 29.07.2026 home Flamengo RJ 1:1
- 25.07.2026 away Athletico-PR 0:2
This season: EC Bahia BA at home vs SC Internacional RS away
| Metric | EC Bahia BA · at home | SC Internacional RS · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 4–6–2 | 2–5–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.42 | 0.91 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.92 | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 55% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 15.03.2026 SC Internacional RS 0:1 EC Bahia BA
- 08.11.2025 SC Internacional RS 2:2 EC Bahia BA
- 22.10.2025 EC Bahia BA 1:0 SC Internacional RS
- 28.07.2024 EC Bahia BA 1:1 SC Internacional RS
- 13.04.2024 SC Internacional RS 2:1 EC Bahia BA
- 19.10.2023 EC Bahia BA 1:0 SC Internacional RS
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
EC Bahia BA have a slight home advantage over SC Internacional RS in this Brasileiro Serie A meeting. The available indicators point toward a controlled, medium-scoring contest, with the hosts better placed overall but not separated by a decisive margin. That makes the home side the more credible choice in the result market, while avoiding an overly aggressive interpretation of the matchup.
The scoring outlook remains balanced. Both teams scoring is considered an even possibility, so the game could develop either through chances at both ends or a more measured approach from one side. The most plausible scenarios suggest a narrow EC Bahia BA win, a draw, or a home victory without SC Internacional RS finding the net. Overall, the strongest analytical position is support for EC Bahia BA or the draw, with the hosts carrying the clearer edge.
What matters before kick-off
Bahia team news ahead of the match
Midfielder Everton Ribeiro returned to partial group training ahead of the match, while goalkeeper Léo Vieira remains sidelined receiving medical treatment.
Bahia entering match following derby victory
In round 24 of Série A, Rogério Ceni's side secured a 2-0 away victory against rivals Vitória courtesy of goals from Alejo Véliz and Jean Lucas.
Bahia's unbeaten run against Internacional
Bahia enter the match on a three-game unbeaten run against Internacional, with the opportunity to match their longest historic unbeaten streak against the club.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.