EC Bahia BA — Clube do Remo PA: Win probabilities, 14.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 87.9% |
| 12 | 80.5% | |
| X2 | 31.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.1% / 43.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.3% / 4.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.3% / 14.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.3% / 35.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.3% / 57.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.0% / 76.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.9% / 88.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 14.09.2026
EC Bahia BA
5th place · 43 pts after 26Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away Bragantino 3:2
- 30.08.2026 home Internacional 3:2
- 23.08.2026 away Vitoria 2:0
- 16.08.2026 away Chapecoense-SC 3:3
- 09.08.2026 home Vasco 0:0
Clube do Remo PA
19th place · 23 pts after 26Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Flamengo RJ 0:1
- 01.09.2026 home Coritiba 2:3
- 22.08.2026 away Fluminense 1:2
- 18.08.2026 away Internacional 1:1
- 08.08.2026 home Atletico-MG 2:2
This season: EC Bahia BA at home vs Clube do Remo PA away
| Metric | EC Bahia BA · at home | Clube do Remo PA · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 13 |
| W–D–L | 5–6–2 | 2–3–8 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.54 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 62% |
| Both teams scored | 69% | 54% |
Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings
- 22.03.2026 Clube do Remo PA 4:1 EC Bahia BA
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
EC Bahia BA enter this Brasileiro Serie A fixture with a clear overall edge over Clube do Remo PA, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the assessment is not without uncertainty. The available signal points toward the home side as the stronger outcome, with the most plausible scorelines including a controlled 2-0 win or a narrower 2-1 result.
The match is also assessed as likely to produce several goals, which could make the game more open than a purely cautious home performance. Both teams scoring remains evenly balanced rather than a strong expectation, reflected by the alternative 1-1 scoreline among the likely outcomes. Overall, EC Bahia BA have the stronger position in the preview, while Clube do Remo PA retain a realistic chance of making the contest competitive if they can stay involved in the attacking phases.
What matters before kick-off
Suspension for Bahia
Bahia midfielder Erick is suspended for the match against Remo after accumulating three yellow cards.
Remo's dominance in 2026 head-to-head fixtures
Remo won all three previous meetings against Bahia in 2026, including a 4-1 league win and two Copa do Brasil victories (3-1 and 2-1).
League standings and current form
Bahia entered round 27 of Serie A in 5th place while on a 10-match unbeaten run in the league, whereas Remo sat in 19th position.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.