CR Flamengo RJ — SC Corinthians SP: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 91.7% |
| 12 | 81.5% | |
| X2 | 26.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 41.9% / 58.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.5% / 6.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.2% / 21.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 54.0% / 46.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 31.7% / 68.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.8% / 84.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.8% / 93.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Odds movement
| W1 | was 1.42 → now 1.33 |
| X | was 4.20 → now 4.75 |
| W2 | was 8.50 → now 10.00 |
Match preview
CR Flamengo RJ go into this Brasileiro Serie A meeting with a clear advantage over SC Corinthians SP. The qualitative assessment points to the hosts being clearly stronger, with the highest confidence level supporting a home victory rather than a closely balanced contest. That edge should shape the match from the outset, as CR Flamengo RJ are expected to take the initiative and place SC Corinthians SP under sustained pressure.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, with the most plausible scorelines indicating a controlled home performance rather than an open, high-scoring exchange. A clean sheet is also considered likely, which strengthens the case for SC Corinthians SP finding it difficult to turn possession or attacking opportunities into goals. The projected scenarios of 2:0, 1:0, or 3:0 all point in the same direction: CR Flamengo RJ are favoured to win, while the visitors may need to remain compact and disciplined to keep the margin narrow.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.