CR Flamengo RJ — SC Corinthians SP: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 93.4% |
| 12 | 83.7% | |
| X2 | 23.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 41.6% / 58.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.4% / 5.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.9% / 19.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.0% / 42.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.6% / 64.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.7% / 81.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.5% / 91.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
CR Flamengo RJ
2nd place · 54 pts after 26Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 away Remo 1:0
- 02.09.2026 home Mirassol 2:0
- 30.08.2026 home Botafogo RJ 3:0
- 23.08.2026 away Cruzeiro 1:2
- 16.08.2026 away Mirassol 5:1
SC Corinthians SP
11th place · 32 pts after 26Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Chapecoense-SC 1:2
- 30.08.2026 home Santos 0:1
- 23.08.2026 away Coritiba 1:2
- 16.08.2026 home Cruzeiro 1:2
- 09.08.2026 away Bragantino 2:0
This season: CR Flamengo RJ at home vs SC Corinthians SP away
| Metric | CR Flamengo RJ · at home | SC Corinthians SP · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 8–3–1 | 3–5–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 1.08 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.67 | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 22.03.2026 SC Corinthians SP 1:1 CR Flamengo RJ
- 29.09.2025 SC Corinthians SP 1:2 CR Flamengo RJ
- 27.04.2025 CR Flamengo RJ 4:0 SC Corinthians SP
- 01.09.2024 SC Corinthians SP 2:1 CR Flamengo RJ
- 11.05.2024 CR Flamengo RJ 2:0 SC Corinthians SP
- 08.10.2023 SC Corinthians SP 1:1 CR Flamengo RJ
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
CR Flamengo RJ enter this Brasileiro Serie A fixture with a clear advantage over SC Corinthians SP. The available assessment points strongly toward the home side, with a high-confidence view that CR Flamengo RJ are the stronger team. That edge suggests they should control more of the match and create the clearer opportunities, while SC Corinthians SP may need to remain compact and rely on limited chances.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring rather than an open contest, and a clean sheet for CR Flamengo RJ is considered likely. The most plausible scorelines are 2:0, 3:0, or 1:0, all of which reflect the same broader pattern: home control with SC Corinthians SP struggling to find a breakthrough. The key question is whether CR Flamengo RJ can turn their superiority into an early lead, as that would place further pressure on the visitors and make the predicted match script more likely to unfold.
What matters before kick-off
Flamengo's form and Libertadores victory
Flamengo enter the 27th round of the Brasileirão coming off a 2-0 away win against Independiente del Valle in the Copa Libertadores quarter-final first leg, alongside four consecutive victories without conceding in all competitions.
Corinthians squad absences
Corinthians face multiple injury absences, including defender André Ramalho, midfielder André Luiz, striker Yuri Alberto, as well as Zakaria Labyad and Kayke who are ruled out for the season.
Head-to-head history
Across 159 historical matches between the teams in all competitions, Flamengo lead the head-to-head record against Corinthians with 66 wins to 57, alongside 36 draws.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.