Chapecoense SC — SC Internacional RS: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 51.7% |
| 12 | 72.3% | |
| X2 | 76.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.9% / 42.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.4% / 7.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.8% / 20.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 54.5% / 45.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 32.2% / 67.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.2% / 83.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.1% / 92.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
Chapecoense SC
20th place · 17 pts after 25Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 away Corinthians 2:1
- 30.08.2026 away Gremio 1:3
- 23.08.2026 home Sao Paulo 1:0
- 16.08.2026 home Bahia 3:3
- 09.08.2026 away Coritiba 1:2
SC Internacional RS
17th place · 25 pts after 26Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Santos 2:3
- 30.08.2026 away Bahia 2:3
- 22.08.2026 home Atletico-MG 0:0
- 18.08.2026 home Remo 1:1
- 09.08.2026 away Palmeiras 0:0
This season: Chapecoense SC at home vs SC Internacional RS away
| Metric | Chapecoense SC · at home | SC Internacional RS · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 2–5–5 | 2–5–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.42 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 58% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 22.03.2026 SC Internacional RS 2:0 Chapecoense SC
- 10.10.2021 SC Internacional RS 5:2 Chapecoense SC
- 24.06.2021 Chapecoense SC 1:2 SC Internacional RS
- 22.09.2019 SC Internacional RS 1:0 Chapecoense SC
- 27.04.2019 Chapecoense SC 2:0 SC Internacional RS
- 18.09.2018 Chapecoense SC 2:1 SC Internacional RS
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Chapecoense SC face SC Internacional RS in a Brasileiro Serie A meeting that points to a slight edge for the visitors. The assessment gives SC Internacional RS the stronger overall position, although the gap is not presented as decisive. Chapecoense SC should remain competitive, particularly in a match where the projected scoring level is medium rather than exceptionally open or tightly defensive.
The scoring outlook leaves room for contributions from either side, but both teams scoring is considered evenly balanced. That makes several match patterns plausible, including a level contest or a controlled away win. The most representative scorelines are 1:1, 1:2 and 0:2, reflecting a game in which SC Internacional RS have the clearer advantage while Chapecoense SC retain a realistic route to finding the net. The broader signal favors the visitors avoiding defeat, rather than pointing to an assured winning margin.
What matters before kick-off
Brasileirão Round 27 fixture
Chapecoense host Internacional on September 12, 2026, at the Arena Condá in round 27 of the Brasileirão Série A.
Chapecoense's recent result
Chapecoense enter the match following a 2-1 comeback victory away against Corinthians in the previous league round.
Internacional's recent result
Internacional suffer a 3-2 home defeat to Santos in their most recent Série A fixture.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.