Botafogo FR RJ — Red Bull Bragantino SP: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 68.6% |
| 12 | 71.6% | |
| X2 | 59.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.7% / 37.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.0% / 7.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.6% / 17.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.2% / 41.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.8% / 64.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.9% / 81.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.6% / 91.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
Botafogo FR RJ
14th place · 31 pts after 25Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Palmeiras 0:0
- 30.08.2026 away Flamengo RJ 0:3
- 25.08.2026 home Athletico-PR 2:3
- 16.08.2026 away Vitoria 0:1
- 09.08.2026 home Fluminense 1:1
Red Bull Bragantino SP
9th place · 35 pts after 25Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 home Bahia 2:3
- 30.08.2026 away Sao Paulo 1:2
- 23.08.2026 home Gremio 1:0
- 15.08.2026 away Athletico-PR 1:1
- 09.08.2026 home Corinthians 0:2
This season: Botafogo FR RJ at home vs Red Bull Bragantino SP away
| Metric | Botafogo FR RJ · at home | Red Bull Bragantino SP · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 12 | 12 |
| W–D–L | 4–5–3 | 4–3–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.42 | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 21.03.2026 Red Bull Bragantino SP 1:2 Botafogo FR RJ
- 30.08.2025 Botafogo FR RJ 4:1 Red Bull Bragantino SP
- 12.04.2025 Red Bull Bragantino SP 1:0 Botafogo FR RJ
- 26.10.2024 Red Bull Bragantino SP 0:1 Botafogo FR RJ
- 26.06.2024 Botafogo FR RJ 2:1 Red Bull Bragantino SP
- 12.11.2023 Red Bull Bragantino SP 2:2 Botafogo FR RJ
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Botafogo FR RJ and Red Bull Bragantino SP appear evenly matched ahead of their Brasileiro Serie A meeting. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That suggests a contest likely to be decided by small details rather than a sustained difference in quality.
The match is expected to produce a medium-scoring pattern, and both teams are likely to find the net. A draw is a credible scenario, while the home side has a slight edge in the broader result outlook. The most plausible scorelines indicate a closely fought game, with a level finish or a narrow victory for either team both remaining consistent with the balance of the matchup.
What matters before kick-off
Marçal and Arthur Cabral Suspended for Botafogo
Botafogo will be without left-back Marçal and forward Arthur Cabral for their match against Red Bull Bragantino due to yellow card suspensions.
Botafogo Seeking Rebound After Winless Streak
Botafogo enter the match against Red Bull Bragantino having gone winless in their last five matches in the competition, most recently drawing 0-0 against Palmeiras.
Red Bull Bragantino Absence List
Red Bull Bragantino face Botafogo without suspended defender Alix Vinicius, while Eduardo Sasha, Vanderlan, and Davi Gomes remain sidelined with injuries.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.