Dundee FC — Glasgow Rangers: Win probabilities, 17.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
12.1%
Home win
Dundee FC
X
17.4%
Draw
W2
70.5%
Away win
Glasgow Rangers
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
X287.9%
Both teams to score
Yes57.4%
Totals 2.5
Over67.5%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 29.5% |
| 12 | 82.6% | |
| X2 | 87.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.4% / 42.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.5% / 3.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.6% / 13.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.5% / 32.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 45.9% / 54.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 27.1% / 72.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.0% / 86.0% |
Goal distribution model
Dundee FC × Glasgow Rangers
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.5%
0:1
7.3%
0:2
9.7%
0:3
8.1%
0:4
5.1%
0:5
2.6%
1
1:0
2.6%
1:1
7.9%
1:2
9.4%
1:3
7.9%
1:4
4.9%
1:5
2.5%
2
2:0
1.4%
2:1
3.6%
2:2
4.6%
2:3
3.8%
2:4
2.4%
2:5
1.2%
3
3:0
0.5%
3:1
1.2%
3:2
1.5%
3:3
1.2%
3:4
0.8%
3:5
0.4%
4
4:0
0.1%
4:1
0.3%
4:2
0.4%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.0%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
0:29.7%
1:29.4%
0:38.1%
1:17.9%
1:37.9%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 17.10.2026
Dundee FC
5th place · 10 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Motherwell 2:1
- 06.09.2026 away Hearts 1:2
- 02.09.2026 home St Johnstone 1:1
- 30.08.2026 home Hibernian 1:2
- 22.08.2026 away Dundee United 2:0
Glasgow Rangers
2nd place · 17 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away Celtic 1:0
- 09.09.2026 home St Mirren 1:0
- 05.09.2026 home Motherwell 1:0
- 02.09.2026 away Falkirk 2:1
- 30.08.2026 away Aberdeen 1:0
This season: Dundee FC at home vs Glasgow Rangers away
| Metric | Dundee FC · at home | Glasgow Rangers · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 2–1–1 | 3–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.58 | 1.53 |
| xG against per match | 1.32 | 0.92 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.50 | 6.25 |
| Corners per match | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Dundee FC wins0
Draws2
Glasgow Rangers wins4
Goals per match3.00
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
- 25.01.2026 Glasgow Rangers 3:0 Dundee FC
- 09.11.2025 Dundee FC 0:3 Glasgow Rangers
- 09.08.2025 Glasgow Rangers 1:1 Dundee FC
- 29.03.2025 Dundee FC 3:4 Glasgow Rangers
- 09.01.2025 Dundee FC 1:1 Glasgow Rangers
- 21.12.2024 Glasgow Rangers 1:0 Dundee FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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