CS Universitatea Craiova — Getafe CF: Win probabilities, 15.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
30.2%
Home win
CS Universitatea Craiova
X
28.3%
Draw
W2
41.5%
Away win
Getafe CF
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1271.7%
Both teams to score
Yes50.2%
Totals 2.5
Under55.5%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 58.5% |
| 12 | 71.7% | |
| X2 | 69.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.2% / 49.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.8% / 9.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 71.0% / 29.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 44.5% / 55.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 23.3% / 76.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 10.3% / 89.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.9% / 96.1% |
Goal distribution model
CS Universitatea Craiova × Getafe CF
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.2%
0:1
10.9%
0:2
7.8%
0:3
3.5%
0:4
1.2%
0:5
0.3%
1
1:0
8.9%
1:1
13.4%
1:2
8.6%
1:3
3.9%
1:4
1.3%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
5.3%
2:1
7.1%
2:2
4.8%
2:3
2.1%
2:4
0.7%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
2.0%
3:1
2.6%
3:2
1.8%
3:3
0.8%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
0.5%
4:1
0.7%
4:2
0.5%
4:3
0.2%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.1%
5:1
0.2%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.0%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.4%
0:110.9%
0:09.2%
1:08.9%
1:28.6%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.10.2026
CS Universitatea Craiova
Last 3 matches · latest first
- 13.08.2026 home Kuopion Palloseura 2:1
- 06.08.2026 away Kuopion Palloseura 1:1
- 29.07.2026 home PFC Levski Sofia 2:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Malaga 1:0
- 17.09.2026 away Betis 0:1
- 13.09.2026 home La Coruna 1:1
- 07.09.2026 home Celta 1:1
- 31.08.2026 away Osasuna 0:1
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 2.90 → now 3.10 |
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.