Coventry City — Brighton and Hove Albion: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 49.1% |
| 12 | 74.8% | |
| X2 | 76.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.1% / 43.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.5% / 6.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.4% / 21.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 54.1% / 45.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 31.8% / 68.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.9% / 84.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.9% / 93.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Coventry City face Brighton and Hove Albion in an EPL meeting where the visitors hold a slight edge, with high confidence in that assessment. The available signal points towards Brighton and Hove Albion avoiding defeat, although the balance is not so one-sided that a home result can be dismissed. Coventry City should remain competitive, particularly if they can keep the match controlled and prevent Brighton and Hove Albion from dictating the tempo.
The game is expected to be medium-scoring, with the most plausible outcomes suggesting a match decided by a narrow margin or ending level. Both teams scoring remains difficult to call, so the attacking contribution of each side is an important uncertainty. The leading scorelines are 1:1, 1:2 and 0:1, reflecting a contest in which Brighton and Hove Albion have the stronger overall outlook but Coventry City retain a realistic chance of taking something from the match.
What matters before kick-off
Premier League fixture
Coventry City host Brighton & Hove Albion in a Premier League fixture on September 13, 2026, at the Coventry Building Society Arena.
Coventry City top-flight return
The 2026/27 campaign marks Coventry City's first season back in the Premier League since their relegation from the top flight in 2001.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.