Coventry City — Brighton and Hove Albion: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 45.9% |
| 12 | 78.3% | |
| X2 | 75.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.2% / 43.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.4% / 4.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.7% / 21.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.6% / 43.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.2% / 65.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.7% / 82.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.9% / 92.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
Coventry City
20th place · 0 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away Man City 0:1
- 29.08.2026 home Hull 0:1
- 21.08.2026 away Arsenal 0:3
- 02.05.2026 away Watford 4:0
- 26.04.2026 home Wrexham 3:1
Brighton and Hove Albion
12th place · 4 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 home Leeds 1:1
- 30.08.2026 away Chelsea 3:4
- 23.08.2026 home Aston Villa 4:0
- 24.05.2026 home Man United 0:3
- 17.05.2026 away Leeds 0:1
This season: Coventry City at home vs Brighton and Hove Albion away
| Metric | Coventry City · at home | Brighton and Hove Albion · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.28 | 1.40 |
| xG against per match | 0.73 | 2.93 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Coventry City face Brighton and Hove Albion in an EPL meeting where the visitors hold a slight edge, with high confidence in that assessment. The available signal points towards Brighton and Hove Albion avoiding defeat, although the balance is not so one-sided that a home result can be dismissed. Coventry City should remain competitive, particularly if they can keep the match controlled and prevent Brighton and Hove Albion from dictating the tempo.
The game is expected to be medium-scoring, with the most plausible outcomes suggesting a match decided by a narrow margin or ending level. Both teams scoring remains difficult to call, so the attacking contribution of each side is an important uncertainty. The leading scorelines are 1:1, 1:2 and 0:1, reflecting a contest in which Brighton and Hove Albion have the stronger overall outlook but Coventry City retain a realistic chance of taking something from the match.
What matters before kick-off
Brighton and Hove Albion team news
Brighton head coach Fabian Hurzeler confirmed that Georginio Rutter and Femi Azeez could feature against Coventry City following returns to training, while Zadok Yohanna remains ruled out.
First top-flight meeting since 1983
This fixture marks the first top-flight league meeting between Coventry City and Brighton and Hove Albion since the 1982/83 campaign.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.