Columbus Crew — Colorado Rapids: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 68.6% |
| 12 | 74.9% | |
| X2 | 56.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.7% / 41.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.2% / 5.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.1% / 20.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.7% / 44.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.3% / 66.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.0% / 83.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.5% / 92.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.09.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 home New England Revolution 1:3
- 23.08.2026 away Nashville SC 2:3
- 20.08.2026 home CF Montreal 1:2
- 16.08.2026 away Charlotte 1:3
- 02.08.2026 away Inter Miami 2:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 home Real Salt Lake 1:0
- 23.08.2026 away San Diego FC 0:3
- 20.08.2026 home Los Angeles FC 1:0
- 16.08.2026 home Sporting Kansas City 2:0
- 02.08.2026 home Austin FC 1:0
This season: Columbus Crew at home vs Colorado Rapids away
| Metric | Columbus Crew · at home | Colorado Rapids · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 | 11 |
| W–D–L | 4–2–5 | 2–1–8 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.27 | 0.91 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.27 | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 55% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 45% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 01.06.2023 Columbus Crew 3:2 Colorado Rapids
- 14.08.2022 Colorado Rapids 1:1 Columbus Crew
- 26.05.2019 Colorado Rapids 3:2 Columbus Crew
- 23.09.2018 Columbus Crew 2:1 Colorado Rapids
- 04.06.2017 Colorado Rapids 2:1 Columbus Crew
- 15.05.2016 Columbus Crew 1:1 Colorado Rapids
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Columbus Crew have a slight edge over Colorado Rapids in this MLS matchup, although the moderate confidence indicates a contest with limited separation between the teams. The available assessment points toward a medium-scoring game, suggesting that neither side is expected to dominate the attacking phases throughout. Columbus Crew may have the stronger overall position, but Colorado Rapids remain competitive enough to make the result uncertain.
Both teams are likely to score, which supports an open contest with opportunities at both ends rather than a purely cautious encounter. The most plausible match patterns include a balanced draw or a narrow home victory, while a low-margin result would fit the broader signal. Overall, the 1X outlook gives Columbus Crew protection against a draw, with the hosts holding only a measured advantage and Colorado Rapids capable of keeping the game close.
What matters before kick-off
Recent form heading into the match
Colorado Rapids enter the match following a 1-0 win against Real Salt Lake courtesy of a Reggie Cannon goal. Meanwhile, Columbus Crew are on a four-game losing streak in MLS after a 3-1 home defeat to New England Revolution.
Colorado Rapids squad absences
Colorado Rapids travel without injured goalkeeper Zack Steffen, as well as Billo Diop, Nico Hansen, and Ted Ku-DiPietro.
Colorado Rapids post-restart clean sheets
Since resuming play after the FIFA World Cup break, Colorado Rapids have recorded five victories in six matches, with all five wins coming via clean sheets.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.