Colorado Rapids — Minnesota United FC: Win probabilities, 15.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
44.8%
Home win
Colorado Rapids
X
26.1%
Draw
W2
29.1%
Away win
Minnesota United FC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1273.9%
Both teams to score
Yes64.5%
Totals 2.5
Over61.9%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 70.9% |
| 12 | 73.9% | |
| X2 | 55.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 64.5% / 35.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.4% / 5.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.4% / 15.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.9% / 38.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 39.7% / 60.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.9% / 78.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.5% / 89.5% |
Goal distribution model
Colorado Rapids × Minnesota United FC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.6%
0:1
4.2%
0:2
4.1%
0:3
1.9%
0:4
0.7%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
5.8%
1:1
11.8%
1:2
7.3%
1:3
3.4%
1:4
1.2%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
6.5%
2:1
9.2%
2:2
6.5%
2:3
3.1%
2:4
1.1%
2:5
0.3%
3
3:0
3.9%
3:1
5.5%
3:2
3.9%
3:3
1.8%
3:4
0.6%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
1.7%
4:1
2.4%
4:2
1.7%
4:3
0.8%
4:4
0.3%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.6%
5:1
0.9%
5:2
0.6%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.8%
2:19.2%
1:27.3%
2:06.5%
2:26.5%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 27.09.2026 away Los Angeles Galaxy 2:3
- 20.09.2026 home Seattle Sounders 3:3
- 13.09.2026 home CF Montreal 1:0
- 10.09.2026 away Austin FC 1:1
- 06.09.2026 away Columbus Crew 0:3
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 27.09.2026 away Seattle Sounders 1:3
- 20.09.2026 home Los Angeles Galaxy 2:3
- 13.09.2026 away St. Louis City 2:4
- 10.09.2026 home FC Dallas 1:2
- 06.09.2026 away Portland Timbers 4:5
This season: Colorado Rapids at home vs Minnesota United FC away
| Metric | Colorado Rapids · at home | Minnesota United FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 13 | 14 |
| W–D–L | 9–1–3 | 5–2–7 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.92 | 1.86 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.92 | 2.36 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 86% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 86% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Colorado Rapids wins2
Draws2
Minnesota United FC wins2
Goals per match3.00
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
- 14.05.2026 Minnesota United FC 0:1 Colorado Rapids
- 28.09.2025 Colorado Rapids 1:1 Minnesota United FC
- 10.08.2025 Minnesota United FC 1:2 Colorado Rapids
- 29.09.2024 Minnesota United FC 3:0 Colorado Rapids
- 26.05.2024 Colorado Rapids 3:3 Minnesota United FC
- 31.08.2023 Minnesota United FC 3:0 Colorado Rapids
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 2.00 → now 2.15 |
| W2 | was 3.40 → now 3.25 |
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