Match intelligence

Clube do Remo PA — Santos FC SP: Win probabilities, 19.09.2026

League: Brasileiro Serie A (Brazil) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Clube do Remo PA1
:
2Santos FC SP
Locked signal X2 Probability 67.4% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 32.6% Home win Clube do Remo PA
X 29.4% Draw
W2 38.1% Away win Santos FC SP
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1271.1%
Both teams to score
Yes56.5%
Totals 2.5
Over51.0%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X59.8%
1271.1%
X269.2%
Both teams to scoreYes/No56.5% / 43.5%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 91.7% / 8.3%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 77.1% / 22.9%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 51.0% / 49.0%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 28.9% / 71.1%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 13.9% / 86.1%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 5.8% / 94.2%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Clube do Remo PA × Santos FC SP
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 8.3%
0:1 8.0%
0:2 7.1%
0:3 3.4%
0:4 1.3%
0:5 0.4%
1
1:0 6.7%
1:1 13.8%
1:2 8.9%
1:3 4.3%
1:4 1.6%
1:5 0.5%
2
2:0 5.2%
2:1 7.6%
2:2 5.6%
2:3 2.7%
2:4 1.0%
2:5 0.3%
3
3:0 2.2%
3:1 3.2%
3:2 2.3%
3:3 1.1%
3:4 0.4%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 0.7%
4:1 1.0%
4:2 0.7%
4:3 0.4%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.3%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.8%
1:28.9%
0:08.3%
0:18.0%
2:17.6%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 19.09.2026

Clube do Remo PA

19th place · 23 pts after 27

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 15.09.2026 away Bahia 1:2
  • 06.09.2026 home Flamengo RJ 0:1
  • 01.09.2026 home Coritiba 2:3
  • 22.08.2026 away Fluminense 1:2
  • 18.08.2026 away Internacional 1:1

Santos FC SP

10th place · 35 pts after 26

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 13.09.2026 home Cruzeiro 2:1
  • 06.09.2026 away Internacional 3:2
  • 30.08.2026 away Corinthians 1:0
  • 23.08.2026 home Mirassol 1:1
  • 16.08.2026 away Vasco 3:0

This season: Clube do Remo PA at home vs Santos FC SP away

Metric Clube do Remo PA · at home Santos FC SP · away
Matches1312
W–D–L3–5–53–4–5
Goals scored per match1.311.58
Goals conceded per match1.311.75
Over 2.5 goals38%75%
Both teams scored62%75%

Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings

Clube do Remo PA wins0
Draws0
Santos FC SP wins1
Goals per match2.00
Both teams scored0/1
Over 2.5 goals0/1
  • 02.04.2026 Santos FC SP 2:0 Clube do Remo PA

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Clube do Remo PA and Santos FC SP appear evenly matched ahead of their Brasileiro Serie A meeting. The available assessment carries moderate confidence, suggesting a contest where neither side has a clearly established advantage. The match is projected to have a medium-scoring profile, so the balance between defensive discipline and efficient finishing could be important.

Both teams are considered likely to score, which points toward an open game with opportunities at both ends. A 1:1 draw is among the plausible scorelines, while a narrow 1:2 result for Santos FC SP is also possible. The 0:0 alternative reflects the uncertainty around how effectively the teams convert their chances. Overall, the outlook is balanced, with a competitive match more likely than a one-sided encounter.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Match fact

Santos unbeaten head-to-head record against Remo

Santos remains undefeated in 12 historical meetings against Clube do Remo, recording 10 victories and two draws.

Schedule

Round 28 Série A fixture at Mangueirão

Clube do Remo hosts Santos in Belém at the Mangueirão stadium for round 28 of the 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro Série A.

Team news

Gabigol's goal contribution stats for Santos

Forward Gabriel Barbosa (Gabigol) reached 20 goals and nine assists across 41 appearances for Santos in 2026 ahead of the match against Remo.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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