Match intelligence

Clube do Remo PA — Coritiba FC PR: Win probabilities, 31.08.2026

League: Brasileiro Serie A (Brazil) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

× Prediction missed
Clube do Remo PA2
:
3Coritiba FC PR
Locked signal 1X Probability 75.5% Verdict Miss
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 47.0% Home win Clube do Remo PA
X 28.5% Draw
W2 24.5% Away win Coritiba FC PR
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X75.5%
Both teams to score
No50.4%
Totals 2.5
Under55.4%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X75.5%
1271.5%
X253.0%
Both teams to scoreYes/No49.6% / 50.4%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 90.4% / 9.6%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 71.6% / 28.4%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 44.6% / 55.4%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 23.4% / 76.6%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 10.4% / 89.6%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 4.0% / 96.0%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Clube do Remo PA × Coritiba FC PR
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 9.6%
0:1 7.4%
0:2 4.2%
0:3 1.4%
0:4 0.3%
0:5 0.1%
1
1:0 11.4%
1:1 13.5%
1:2 6.2%
1:3 2.1%
1:4 0.5%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 9.2%
2:1 9.1%
2:2 4.5%
2:3 1.5%
2:4 0.4%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 4.5%
3:1 4.5%
3:2 2.2%
3:3 0.7%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 1.6%
4:1 1.6%
4:2 0.8%
4:3 0.3%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.5%
5:1 0.5%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.5%
1:011.4%
0:09.6%
2:09.2%
2:19.1%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 31.08.2026

Clube do Remo PA

19th place · 23 pts after 24

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 22.08.2026 away Fluminense 1:2
  • 18.08.2026 away Internacional 1:1
  • 08.08.2026 home Atletico-MG 2:2
  • 29.07.2026 away Mirassol 1:2
  • 26.07.2026 home Vitoria 2:0

Coritiba FC PR

9th place · 34 pts after 24

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 23.08.2026 home Corinthians 2:1
  • 16.08.2026 away Sao Paulo 1:1
  • 09.08.2026 home Chapecoense-SC 2:1
  • 31.07.2026 home Cruzeiro 0:1
  • 26.07.2026 away Bragantino 0:0

This season: Clube do Remo PA at home vs Coritiba FC PR away

Metric Clube do Remo PA · at home Coritiba FC PR · away
Matches1112
W–D–L3–5–34–4–4
Goals scored per match1.361.25
Goals conceded per match1.181.42
Over 2.5 goals36%50%
Both teams scored64%42%

Head-to-head · Last 1 meetings

Clube do Remo PA wins0
Draws0
Coritiba FC PR wins1
Goals per match1.00
Both teams scored0/1
Over 2.5 goals0/1
  • 15.03.2026 Coritiba FC PR 1:0 Clube do Remo PA

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Clube do Remo PA have a slight but meaningful edge over Coritiba FC PR in this Brasileiro Serie A fixture. The assessment points toward a medium-scoring match, although the balance between the teams scoring is finely poised and could develop either way.

The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 1:0, and 0:0, indicating a contest that may remain close throughout. With high confidence in the overall assessment, the home side appears clearly stronger without the gap being decisive. A home win or draw is the more supported direction, while Coritiba FC PR remain capable of making the match competitive.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Availability

Squad news: Coritiba suspension and Remo injury concern

Coritiba midfielder Thiago Santos is suspended for the match. Meanwhile, Remo's top scorer in the tournament, Jajá, is a doubt due to an ankle injury.

Match fact

Recent form heading into the match

Coritiba enters the match on a three-game undefeated streak in the league, including a 2-1 victory over Corinthians. Remo returns to their home ground Mangueirão after 23 days, having taken seven points from their last three home matches.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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